Match Info

VHL

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Tambov		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.76	1.62
	3.75	3.65	1.57
	4.2	4.3	1.68	Watch
	3.9	4.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.52)	3.95 ↓ (4.2)	1.63 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tambov
22.7%

Draw
22.6%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

22.3%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

23.4%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tambov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tambov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tambov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Mytnik N. (G)	20. Vinogradov Z. (G)
73. Zhukov A.	89. Teryayev S. (A)
54. Marin M.	8. Naumov V.
66. Didkovsky A.	38. Demidov S.
69. Pyanov E.	17. Podkorytov A.
23. Lazarev M. (A)	10. Sheshin D.
Line 2
85. Kozhevnikov A.	4. Churkin V.
82. Paigin Z. (A)	67. Afanasyev M. (A)
87. Borodin D.	18. Serdyuk Y.
86. Kopyltsov S.	40. Apalkov D. (C)
19. Vladimirov N. (C)	59. Perevalov A.
Line 3
26. Yershov I.	12. Kryukov T.
24. Maslov K.	47. Medvedev P.
70. Chefanov I.	16. Manukyan A.
89. Sadovin O.	81. Spiridonov Y.
47. Smirnov Y.	87. Gerasimov S.
Line 4
95. Pesterev V.	58. Sherstnev I.
33. Balashov M.	33. Shablovsky Z.
21. Vikharev D.	15. Utkin D.
29. Deshkunov A.	29. Vasilkov A.
Substitutes
60. Golovlev V. (G)	1. Lozebnikov D. (G)
	28. Ospanov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
12:04, 1 - 0, Marin M. (G), Pyanov E. (A), Borodin D. (A2)
14:39, 2 - 0, Marin M. (G), Pyanov E. (A), Lazarev M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:47, 3 - 0, Vladimirov N. (G), Borodin D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Recently, Metallurg N has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Metallurg N carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Tambov has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:67 (averaging 2.7:3.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tambov against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 21:27 goals (averaging 3:3.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	13	7	0	3	3	24:14	17
14	Tambov	12	6	1	1	4	32:31	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Tambov
VHL
29.09.26	Tambov - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	5:4 ✺
27.09.26	Tambov - Norilsk	4:1 ✺
21.09.26	Kaluga - Tambov	6:0 ✺
19.09.26	AKM - Tambov	7:5 ✺
17.09.26	Ryazan - Tambov	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLL
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
29.09.26	Buran Voronezh - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:1 penalties ✺
25.09.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Omskie Krylia	1:2 OT ✺
23.09.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Zauralie Kurgan	4:0 ✺
21.09.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:3 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
04.03.26	Tambov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:7
21.09.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Tambov	3:2
29.01.25	Tambov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:4 OT
22.10.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Tambov	1:3
09.01.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Tambov	4:5 OT
13.10.23	Tambov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:1
07.01.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Tambov	5:2

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