Match Info

Date: 4 March 2022, Friday


	SaPKo		Kiekko-Vantaa

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.25	2.75
	2.05	3.9	2.75
	2	4.4	2.8
	2.03	4	2.9
	1.99	4.06	2.98
	2.1	3.75	2.8
	2.07	4.15	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.93)	4.07 ↓ (4.25)	2.84 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaPKo
45%

Draw
22.6%

Kiekko-Vantaa
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

21.4%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

16.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaPKo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Kiekko-Vantaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaPKo than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SaPKo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Vantaa than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kiekko-Vantaa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SaPKo - Kiekko Vantaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches SaPKo won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Kiekko-Vantaa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

SaPKo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 35 head-to-head matches SaPKo won 24 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 122-86.

Including matches at home between the teams SaPKo won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 63-46.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaPKo
Finnish Mestis
02.03.22	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - SaPKo	3:1 ✺
26.02.22	RoKi - SaPKo	4:1 ✺
25.02.22	Hermes Kokkola - SaPKo	3:0 ✺
22.02.22	SaPKo - TuTo	5:2 ✺
19.02.22	SaPKo - Peliitat Heinola	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL
- Kiekko-Vantaa
Finnish Mestis
02.03.22	Forssan Palloseura - Kiekko-Vantaa	3:2 ✺
22.02.22	Kiekko-Vantaa - Forssan Palloseura	2:3 OT ✺
19.02.22	Kiekko-Vantaa - RoKi	3:1 ✺
18.02.22	Kiekko-Vantaa - IPK	0:2 ✺
16.02.22	Kiekko-Espoo - Kiekko-Vantaa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
15.12.21	Kiekko-Vantaa - SaPKo	4:3 penalties
25.09.21	SaPKo - Kiekko-Vantaa	4:1
18.01.20	Kiekko-Vantaa - SaPKo	2:3
05.01.20	SaPKo - Kiekko-Vantaa	3:4
02.11.19	Kiekko-Vantaa - SaPKo	4:3
04.10.19	SaPKo - Kiekko-Vantaa	3:7
23.02.19	Kiekko-Vantaa - SaPKo	2:5

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