Match Info
MestisDate: 7 January 2026, WednesdayLocation: Trio Areena (Vantaa)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
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Kiekko-Vantaa |
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IPK |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.03 |
4.4 |
2.8 |
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 |
2.05 |
4.77 |
2.73 |
 Watch |
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1.95 |
4.2 |
2.75 |
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2.1 |
4.1 |
2.71 |
Watch |
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2.05 |
4 |
2.7 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.61) |
4.29 ↑
(4.11) |
2.74 ↑
(2.25) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kiekko-Vantaa
45.1% | Draw
21.4% | IPK
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiekko-Vantaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kiekko-Vantaa's performance.IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and IPK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Vantaa than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kiekko-Vantaa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for IPK than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that IPK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Kiekko Vantaa - IPK Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Kiekko-Vantaa will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kiekko-Vantaa: 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kiekko-Vantaa (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Kiekko-Vantaa (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kiekko-Vantaa (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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23.  Auvinen S. (G)
| 35. Rovio T. (G)
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3. Pakaslahti A.
| 66. Valtola K.
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43. Niemelainen A.
| 4. Koskela V.
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13. Tenhovuori N.
| 13. Halonen V.
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25. Pitkanen K.
| 20. Ring L.
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11. Gustafsson R.
| 7. Suhonen P.
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| Line 2 |
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5. Ulander E. (C)
| 49. Viirret V.
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12. Arkko V.
| 12. Mikkonen O. (C)
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94. Nordgren N. (A)
| 44. Karppinen A.
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22. Turunen R. (A)
| 27. Lausniemi A.
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8. Saarelainen M.
| 22. Koponen E.
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| Line 3 |
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55. Vaisanen V.
| 55. Lahtinen O. (A)
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18. Kettunen E.
| 65. Haakana S.
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28. Tolppola V.
| 59. Kahkonen J.
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24. Fagerstrom J.
| 64. Rantanen J.
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81. Menna M.
| 9. Vesaaja J.
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| Line 4 |
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29. Tiusanen E.
| 2. Junkkari J.
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44. Laakso A.
| 21. Suomalainen S. (A)
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62. Iso-Kuortti P.
| 26. Hattunen M.
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| 67. Curri R.
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| Substitutes |
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35. Varis K. (G)
| 1. Jantunen A. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 10:05, 0 - 1, Karppinen A. (G), Lausniemi A. (A), Koponen E. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 11:31, 1 - 1, Pitkanen K. (G), Turunen R. (A), Nordgren N. (A2)
- 19:32, 1 - 2, Karppinen A. (G), Haakana S. (A), Lahtinen O. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 03:56, 2 - 2, Gustafsson R. (G), Pitkanen K. (A), Tenhovuori N. (A2)
- 14:09, 2 - 3, Suomalainen S. (G), Koponen E. (A), Mikkonen O. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Vantaa won 1.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Kiekko-Vantaa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Vantaa won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 58:66. (average 2.9:3.3).Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Vantaa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:31. (average 3.4:3.1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | IPK | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 30:12 | 21 |
| 2 | K-Vantaa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26:21 | 20 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Kiekko-Vantaa - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.78%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
IPK - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.5%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish Mestis | | | 12.12.25 | IPK - Kiekko-Vantaa | 5:1 | | 26.11.25 | Kiekko-Vantaa - IPK | 2:3 OT | | 20.09.25 | IPK - Kiekko-Vantaa | 3:4 | | 14.02.25 | IPK - Kiekko-Vantaa | 6:2 | | 14.12.24 | IPK - Kiekko-Vantaa | 2:1 penalties | | 20.11.24 | Kiekko-Vantaa - IPK | 6:2 | | 25.10.24 | Kiekko-Vantaa - IPK | 3:4 penalties |
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