Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	SaiPa U20		Kärpät U20

	1	X	2
	2.1	4.6	2.15
	2.37	4.05	2.29
	2.34	4.5	2.29	Watch
	2.3	4	2.25
	2.34	4.15	2.27
	2.33	4.1	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.34)	4.23 ↓ (4.5)	2.25 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

SaiPa U20
39%

Draw
21.2%

Kärpät U20
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

20.5%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

22.5%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Kärpät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa U20 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

SaiPa U20 - Kärpät U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
3rd Period (1 - 4)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa U20 won 0.

SaiPa U20 has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Kärpät U20 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

SaiPa U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for SaiPa U20 in today's match, at odds of 2.34.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, SaiPa U20 has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:65 (averaging 2.5:4.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for SaiPa U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 22:30 goals (averaging 3.1:4.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Karpat U20	12	5	3	0	4	40:35	21
15	SaiPa U20	9	2	2	1	4	27:35	11

Last Results with these Odds

Kärpät U20 - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.2%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.09.26	SaiPa U20 - Ässät U20	4:3 penalties ✺
12.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - SaiPa U20	8:2 ✺
09.09.26	SaiPa U20 - JYP U20	6:1 ✺
05.09.26	KooKoo U20 - SaiPa U20	3:6 ✺
04.09.26	SaiPa U20 - KooKoo U20	3:2 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WLWWW
- Kärpät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
26.09.26	KooKoo U20 - Kärpät U20	1:4 ✺
20.09.26	TPS U20 - Kärpät U20	3:4 OT ✺
19.09.26	Lukko U20 - Kärpät U20	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Kärpät U20 - Jokerit U20	2:5 ✺
11.09.26	Kärpät U20 - HIFK U20	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
10.01.26	Kärpät U20 - SaiPa U20	5:2
20.12.25	SaiPa U20 - Kärpät U20	2:3 penalties
07.12.24	SaiPa U20 - Kärpät U20	4:5
24.10.24	Kärpät U20 - SaiPa U20	4:3 penalties
08.12.23	Kärpät U20 - SaiPa U20	4:3 OT
03.11.23	SaiPa U20 - Kärpät U20	1:8
18.11.22	Kärpät U20 - SaiPa U20	4:0

Upcoming Matches