The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SaiPa U20 42.6%
Draw 21%
KalPa U20 36.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.7%
21.9%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
22.7%
37.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SaiPa U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
KalPa U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa U20 than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa U20 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
SaiPa U20 - KalPa U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
15:29, 0 - 1, Vetelainen T. (G), Tuovinen R. (A), Kekarainen S. (A2)
18:11, 1 - 1, Nevalainen E. (G), Rinkinen T. (A), Kaasinen S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
11:27, 1 - 2, Linna A. (G), Kekarainen S. (A), Tarvainen J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
14:40, 2 - 2, Moilanen V. (G), Besenyei B. (A), Rinkinen T. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Kekarainen S. (Penalty Shot),
1, Mikonsaari V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Jung S. (Penalty Shot),
2, Moilanen V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Vetelainen T. (Penalty Shot),
3, Rinkinen T. (Penalty Shot),
4, Tsupari V. (Penalty Shot),
4, Svensk S. (Penalty Shot),
5, Miilunpohja R. (Penalty Shot),
5, Rajala J. (Penalty Shot),
6, Rajala J. (Penalty Shot),
6, Vetelainen T. (Penalty Shot),
7, Rinkinen T. (Penalty Shot),
7, Miilunpohja R. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa U20 won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
SaiPa U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, SaiPa U20 has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:83 (averaging 3.4:4.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SaiPa U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 38:33 goals (averaging 4.2:3.7 per game).
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