Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	SaiPa U20		RoKi U20

	1	X	2
	1.58	5	3.2
	1.67	4.53	3.52
	1.66	4.75	3.67	Watch
	1.6	4.5	3.7
	1.65	4.6	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 (1.63)	4.68 ↓ (4.88)	3.55 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa U20
55.3%

Draw
19.3%

RoKi U20
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

18.9%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

18.8%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

RoKi U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa U20 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RoKi U20 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

SaiPa U20 - RoKi U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
13:12, 1 - 0, Ronkko J. (G), Zezelj A. (A), Moilanen V. (A2)
18:53, 2 - 0, Ronkko J. (G), Moilanen V. (A), Zezelj A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:57, 2 - 1, Aarrevaara V. (G), Karjalainen S. (A),
07:12, 3 - 1, Kokkonen N. (G), Mikonsaari V. (A), Isbom K. (A2)
08:44, 3 - 2, Viljakainen J. (G), Haataja A. (A), Lamsa J. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
04:10, 4 - 2, Kontunen O. (G),
10:17, 5 - 2, Mikonsaari V. (G), Svensk S. (A), Kokkonen N. (A2)
12:52, 6 - 2, Moilanen V. (G), Kytovaara E. (A), Zezelj A. (A2)
18:29, 6 - 3, Strazdins R. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa U20 won 4.

Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.

Recently, SaiPa U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, SaiPa U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, SaiPa U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 56:25. (average 5.1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:10. (average 5.8:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
15	SaiPa U20	9	2	2	1	4	27:35	11
17	RoKi U20	11	1	1	1	8	29:60	6

Last Results with these Odds

RoKi U20 - the odds 3.73 are the expected chance of winning is 24.67%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.02.26	SaiPa U20 - HPK U20	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	SaiPa U20 - Lukko U20	1:5 ✺
14.02.26	SaiPa U20 - Ilves U20	4:9 ✺
13.02.26	SaiPa U20 - JYP U20	2:5 ✺
31.01.26	SaiPa U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- RoKi U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - RoKi U20	4:3 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - RoKi U20	6:2 ✺
20.02.26	Kärpät U20 - RoKi U20	5:1 ✺
13.02.26	RoKi U20 - Jokerit U20	2:10 ✺
31.01.26	RoKi U20 - Pelicans U20	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
09.01.26	RoKi U20 - SaiPa U20	3:6
02.11.24	SaiPa U20 - RoKi U20	8:3
25.10.24	RoKi U20 - SaiPa U20	1:4
09.12.23	RoKi U20 - SaiPa U20	2:1 penalties
27.10.23	SaiPa U20 - RoKi U20	4:3
04.03.23	RoKi U20 - SaiPa U20	4:5 OT
16.12.22	SaiPa U20 - RoKi U20	3:4 OT

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