Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	SaiPa U20		HPK U20

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.8	1.45
	5.23	5.18	1.38
	5.51	5.41	1.39	Watch
	5.75	4.8	1.33
	5.14	5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↑ (4.62)	5.04 ↑ (4.71)	1.39 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa U20
17.6%

Draw
17.9%

HPK U20
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

19.3%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

21.2%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

HPK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa U20 than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HPK U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SaiPa U20 - HPK U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:5

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
03:09, 0 - 1, Lamponen V. (G), Viitaluoma V. (A), Lehtonen O. (A2)
19:56, 0 - 2, Fagerstrom V. (G), Pulli T. (A), Huttunen R. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
12:29, 1 - 2, Hokkanen I. (G), Svensk V. (A), Svensk S. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
06:47, 1 - 3, Kostjukovs K. (G), Lamponen V. (A), Liski T. (A2)
09:18, 2 - 3, Rinkinen T. (G), Svensk V. (A), Kokkonen N. (A2)
13:20, 2 - 4, Kopiloff O. (G), Lamponen V. (A), Saarelma N. (A2)
18:30, 2 - 5, Saarelma N. (G), Lappalainen M. (A),

Preview

HPK U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa U20 won 1.

SaiPa U20 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

HPK U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

HPK U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, SaiPa U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, HPK U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, SaiPa U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 47:61. (average 3.1:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:35. (average 3.9:3.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Hameenlinna U20	10	7	0	2	1	46:22	23
15	SaiPa U20	9	2	2	1	4	27:35	11

Last Results with these Odds

SaiPa U20 - the odds 4.62 are the expected chance of winning is 19.69%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
28.02.26	SaiPa U20 - RoKi U20	6:3 ✺
27.02.26	SaiPa U20 - HPK U20	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	SaiPa U20 - Lukko U20	1:5 ✺
14.02.26	SaiPa U20 - Ilves U20	4:9 ✺
13.02.26	SaiPa U20 - JYP U20	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL
- HPK U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.02.26	SaiPa U20 - HPK U20	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Jokerit U20 - HPK U20	4:3 penalties ✺
20.02.26	HPK U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	3:4 ✺
14.02.26	HPK U20 - Lukko U20	2:4 ✺
13.02.26	HPK U20 - Pelicans U20	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.02.26	SaiPa U20 - HPK U20	1:3
03.01.26	HPK U20 - SaiPa U20	4:2
11.10.25	HPK U20 - SaiPa U20	3:4 OT
01.11.24	SaiPa U20 - HPK U20	3:5
21.10.23	HPK U20 - SaiPa U20	6:1
20.01.23	SaiPa U20 - HPK U20	6:2
29.09.22	SaiPa U20 - HPK U20	4:3 OT

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