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Current Win Probability
Saint John Sea Dogs 59.1%
Draw 19.9%
Drummondville Voltigeurs 21%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.9%
20.5%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
21.1%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint John Sea Dogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint John Sea Dogs's performance.
Drummondville Voltigeurs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Drummondville Voltigeurs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint John Sea Dogs than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint John Sea Dogs that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drummondville Voltigeurs than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Drummondville Voltigeurs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Saint John Sea Dogs - Drummondville Voltigeurs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
37. Courchesne R. (G)
65. Larys J. (G)
21. Cancik M.
20. Arthurs D.
27. Charbonneau T.
55. Belzil E.
5. Chartrand C.
44. Boucher J.
26. Damphousse B.
91. Bourque L. (A)
76. Delarosbil B.
2. Campbell C.
9. Donovan A. (A)
43. Cormier X.
7. Dunlap J.
9. Drolet M. (A)
28. Gauthier A.
28. Dufour H.
17. Glance J.
94. Dumont D.
86. Groulx O. (C)
24. Dumont W.
12. Howard R.
13. Kovalcik F. (A)
19. Joseph A. (A)
96. Morin D.
10. Morin Z.
16. Poulin R. (C)
98. Ozogany O.
15. Ronson O.
25. Roop L.
72. Rousseau J.
8. Rozzi D.
27. Sylla E.
23. Seymour J.
81. Taliga S.
18. Williams L.
88. Tasse Y.
Substitutes
31. Meloche S. (G)
90. Fortin M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
07:31, 0 - 1, Dufour H. (G), Drolet M. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
14:18, 1 - 1, Donovan A. (G), Glance J. (A), Delarosbil B. (A2)
14:39, 2 - 1, Williams L. (G), Morin Z. (A), Rozzi D. (A2)
15:12, 2 - 2, Drolet M. (G), Dumont W. (A), Taliga S. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:49, 3 - 2, Seymour J. (G), Glance J. (A), Chartrand C. (A2)
16:34, 3 - 3, Dufour H. (G), Rousseau J. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Poulin R. (Penalty Shot),
1, Glance J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Bourque L. (Penalty Shot),
2, Donovan A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Rousseau J. (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint John won 0.
Saint John is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Drummondville has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Drummondville may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Saint John has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, Drummondville has had a run of games away from home.
Saint John carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Saint John in today's match, at odds of 1.7.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Saint John has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 17 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:100 (averaging 2.2:5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Saint John against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with 18:46 goals (averaging 1.8:4.6 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Saint John Sea Dogs - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 48.89%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Drummondville Voltigeurs - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.59%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Courchesne R. (G) 
Larys J. (G) 
Campbell C. 
Kovalcik F. (A) 
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