Match Info

QMJHL

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Centre Gervais Auto (Shawinigan, QC) 🌤️ ...


	Shawinigan Cataractes		Moncton Wildcats

	1	X	2
	2.35	4.45	2.38
	2.78	4.53	1.98
	2.30	4.40	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (3.8)	4.46 ↓ (4.72)	2.24 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shawinigan Cataractes
37.6%

Draw
20.9%

Moncton Wildcats
41.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.3%

19.5%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

20.7%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shawinigan Cataractes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shawinigan Cataractes's performance.

Moncton Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moncton Wildcats might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shawinigan Cataractes than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shawinigan Cataractes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncton Wildcats than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moncton Wildcats could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Shawinigan Cataractes - Moncton Wildcats Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Shawinigan will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shawinigan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Boucher P. (G)	35. Weiner J. (G)
37. Bergeron F. (A)	6. Baird-Gajdos C.
2. Boyer S.	7. Batchilder J.
11. Branton M.	17. Blace W.
44. Charron O.	33. Boguniecki J.
81. Chartier S.	3. Brosnan M.
71. Corso B.	72. Bursaw L.
92. Desrochers M.	22. Chudzinski R. (A)
13. Dumais L.	2. Coccaro T.
23. Faucher E.	24. Fortier-Gendron A. (A)
77. Fortin A.	19. Gould S.
93. Laframboise D.	9. Kilfoil L. (A)
86. Lemieux P.	12. Laitinen J.
72. Lygitsakos C. (C)	28. MacPhee M.
97. Olkhovik G.	10. Manchuso W.
29. Ouellet N.	13. Survilas N.
6. Pederson R.	26. Thornborough S.
98. Prudhomme J.	86. Tournas N.
78. Shtyrhunov V.	23. Vilen M.
Substitutes
30. Cai Y. (G)	50. Rybkin Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
05:52, 1 - 0, Bergeron F. (Penalty Shot),
10:08, 2 - 0, Shtyrhunov V. (G), Lemieux P. (A), Boyer S. (A2)
15:55, 3 - 0, Faucher E. (G), Fortin A. (A), Laframboise D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
11:16, 4 - 0, Lygitsakos C. (G), Charron O. (A), Lemieux P. (A2)
12:30, 4 - 1, Tournas N. (G), Chudzinski R. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shawinigan won 1.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Shawinigan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Moncton is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Shawinigan has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:74 (averaging 3:3.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Shawinigan against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 27:34 goals (averaging 2.7:3.4 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Shawinigan Cataractes - the odds 3.8 are the expected chance of winning is 24.26%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shawinigan Cataractes
QMJHL
24.10.26	Shawinigan Cataractes - Rimouski Oceanic	2:3 AET ✺
18.10.26	Halifax Mooseheads - Shawinigan Cataractes	4:3 OT ✺
17.10.26	Charlottetown Islanders - Shawinigan Cataractes	1:6 ✺
16.10.26	Moncton Wildcats - Shawinigan Cataractes	6:4 ✺
12.10.26	Shawinigan Cataractes - Newfoundland Regiment	7:4
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWLW
- Moncton Wildcats
QMJHL
24.10.26	Drummondville Voltigeurs - Moncton Wildcats	3:1 ✺
23.10.26	Sherbrooke Phoenix - Moncton Wildcats	2:3 ✺
17.10.26	Moncton Wildcats - Val-dOr Foreurs	1:2 ✺
16.10.26	Moncton Wildcats - Shawinigan Cataractes	6:4 ✺
10.10.26	Moncton Wildcats - Rouyn-Noranda Huskies	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

QMJHL
16.10.26	Moncton Wildcats - Shawinigan Cataractes	6:4
15.02.26	Moncton Wildcats - Shawinigan Cataractes	6:2
29.11.25	Shawinigan Cataractes - Moncton Wildcats	4:3 penalties
13.02.25	Moncton Wildcats - Shawinigan Cataractes	5:4 penalties
26.10.24	Shawinigan Cataractes - Moncton Wildcats	2:5
09.12.23	Shawinigan Cataractes - Moncton Wildcats	4:3 OT
12.11.23	Moncton Wildcats - Shawinigan Cataractes	1:2

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