Match Info

QMJHL

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Centre Gervais Auto (Shawinigan, QC)


	Shawinigan Cataractes		Moncton Wildcats

	1	X	2
	2.48	4.09	2.27
	2.23	4.27	2.48	Watch
	2.4	3.85	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.23)	4.07 ↓ (4.27)	2.33 ↓ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shawinigan Cataractes
38.5%

Draw
22.4%

Moncton Wildcats
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

21.6%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

21.5%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shawinigan Cataractes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Moncton Wildcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shawinigan Cataractes than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncton Wildcats than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Boucher P. (G)	25. Guimond R. (G)
11. Boilard R.	12. Binkley S.
88. Chandler C.	16. Bleyl T.
44. Chapdelaine M.	36. Buckley D.
13. Desrochers M.	18. Desnoyers C. (C)
96. Dupuis K. (A)	21. Diamond A.
86. Elie V.	24. Fortier-Gendron A.
61. Forget J.	20. Lounsbury P. (A)
97. Klima J.	74. Magnusson C.
55. Lacerte F.	10. Mercier A. (A)
72. Lygitsakos C.	14. Mutryn T. (A)
28. McKinnon N.	6. Necak D.
89. McNeil B.	71. Robertson-Palmer G.
6. Plamondon F.	23. Sampson R.
5. Plante M.	9. Smith G.
81. Schneider E.	26. Thornborough S.
49. Tourigny J. (C)	86. Tournas N.
23. Wright N.	15. Virgilio M.
	27. Voronin K.
	38. Wallenius E.
Substitutes
31. Satov J. (G)	35. Weiner J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
02:48, 1 - 0, Schneider E. (G), Boilard R. (A),
04:46, 2 - 0, Lacerte F. (G), Tourigny J. (A), Plamondon F. (A2)
14:55, 3 - 0, Wright N. (G), Elie V. (A), Klima J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
11:59, 3 - 1, Mercier A. (G), Virgilio M. (A), Tournas N. (A2)
19:33, 3 - 2, Mercier A. (G), Desnoyers C. (A), Smith G. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
11:39, 3 - 3, Desnoyers C. (G), Diamond A. (A), Bleyl T. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 0)
1, Boilard R. (Penalty Shot),
1, Desnoyers C. (Penalty Shot),
2, Klima J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Smith G. (Penalty Shot),
3, Lacerte F. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shawinigan won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Shawinigan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shawinigan won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 64:69. (average 3.2:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Shawinigan won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:37. (average 2.7:3.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shawinigan Cataractes
QMJHL
22.11.25	Victoriaville Tigres - Shawinigan Cataractes	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Blainville-Boisbriand Armada - Shawinigan Cataractes	2:4 ✺
16.11.25	Sherbrooke Phoenix - Shawinigan Cataractes	4:5 OT ✺
14.11.25	Shawinigan Cataractes - Victoriaville Tigres	2:6 ✺
13.11.25	Shawinigan Cataractes - Rimouski Oceanic	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWLW
- Moncton Wildcats
QMJHL
28.11.25	Victoriaville Tigres - Moncton Wildcats	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	Moncton Wildcats - Charlottetown Islanders	6:1 ✺
21.11.25	Saint John Sea Dogs - Moncton Wildcats	4:8 ✺
19.11.25	Moncton Wildcats - Sherbrooke Phoenix	6:1 ✺
16.11.25	Moncton Wildcats - Quebec Remparts	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

QMJHL
13.02.25	Moncton Wildcats - Shawinigan Cataractes	5:4 penalties
26.10.24	Shawinigan Cataractes - Moncton Wildcats	2:5
09.12.23	Shawinigan Cataractes - Moncton Wildcats	4:3 OT
12.11.23	Moncton Wildcats - Shawinigan Cataractes	1:2
26.02.23	Moncton Wildcats - Shawinigan Cataractes	4:3
07.10.22	Shawinigan Cataractes - Moncton Wildcats	3:1
10.02.22	Shawinigan Cataractes - Moncton Wildcats	4:1

Shawinigan Cataractes - Moncton Wildcats: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide