Match Info

MHL

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sakhalinskie Akuly		Dinamo-Karelia

	1	X	2
	1.41	5.5	6
	1.37	5.91	6.22	Watch
	1.3	5.25	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.58)	5.55 ↑ (5.3)	6.24 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakhalinskie Akuly
68.4%

Draw
16.7%

Dinamo-Karelia
14.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.2%

17.7%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

17.4%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakhalinskie Akuly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakhalinskie Akuly's performance.

Dinamo-Karelia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dinamo-Karelia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakhalinskie Akuly than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sakhalinskie Akuly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo-Karelia than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo-Karelia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sakhalinskie Akuly - Dinamo Karelia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2

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Lineups

Line 1
52. Khachaturyan S. (G)	76. Bondarenko K. (G)
26. Bykov V.	41. Kolpakov P.
15. Tsoy R.	3. Sherenkov D.
88. Vasilyuk M.	18. Dubinin D.
87. Chechel M.	16. Bobryshev I.
21. Goryachev A.	15. Kraglik K.
Line 2
96. Ignatenko V.	24. Petrov A.
6. Aksarov V.	7. Gulko A.
98. Polyatsko Y.	39. Korzik S.
17. Cherepanov S.	34. Novikov Y.
13. Korenev D.	19. Bazanov I.
Line 3
82. Bannov D.	11. Afanasyev I.
75. Kuchiyev R.	45. Vasilevsky D.
86. Kozlov I.	26. Medvedev Y.
50. Krutenkov A.	25. Arsentyev I.
8. Plekhov A.	17. Marininov Y.
Line 4
77. Belov L.	21. Pogosbekyan A.
11. Vinogradov S.	29. Kozlovsky B.
55. Vakhrushev M.	28. Pavlovsky D.
37. Svetlakov T.	22. Sharov Y.
9. Kartashov N.
Substitutes
31. Belous A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
01:39, 1 - 0, Korenev D. (G), Polyatsko Y. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:12, 2 - 0, Krutenkov A. (G), Plekhov A. (A), Korenev D. (A2)
16:35, 2 - 1, Marininov Y. (G), Petrov A. (A), Bazanov I. (A2)
19:58, 3 - 1, Vasilyuk M. (G), Goryachev A. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
16:24, 4 - 1, Goryachev A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakhalinskie Akuly won 5.

Sakhalinskie Akuly has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dinamo-Karelia is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Dinamo-Karelia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sakhalinskie Akuly has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sakhalinskie Akuly is the obvious favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sakhalinskie Akuly won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 66:39. (average 4.1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sakhalinskie Akuly won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:17. (average 4.8:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakhalinskie Akuly
MHL
06.12.25	Sakhalinskie Akuly - Dinamo-Karelia	6:2 ✺
30.11.25	Kapitan Stupino - Sakhalinskie Akuly	4:2 ✺
29.11.25	Kapitan Stupino - Sakhalinskie Akuly	2:4 ✺
26.11.25	Atlant - Sakhalinskie Akuly	3:2 ✺
25.11.25	Atlant - Sakhalinskie Akuly	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL
- Dinamo-Karelia Kondopoga
MHL
06.12.25	Sakhalinskie Akuly - Dinamo-Karelia	6:2 ✺
01.12.25	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Dinamo-Karelia	5:3 ✺
28.11.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Dinamo-Karelia	2:0 ✺
24.11.25	Dinamo-Karelia - MHC Spartak	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Dinamo-Karelia - Krasnaya Armiya	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
06.12.25	Sakhalinskie Akuly - Dinamo-Karelia	6:2
14.09.25	Dinamo-Karelia - Sakhalinskie Akuly	2:5
13.09.25	Dinamo-Karelia - Sakhalinskie Akuly	2:3
18.03.25	Sakhalinskie Akuly - Dinamo-Karelia	5:3
17.03.25	Sakhalinskie Akuly - Dinamo-Karelia	5:3
14.09.24	Dinamo-Karelia - Sakhalinskie Akuly	6:0
13.09.24	Dinamo-Karelia - Sakhalinskie Akuly	0:5

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