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Current Win Probability
Kapitan Stupino 46.4%
Draw 23.9%
Sakhalinskie Akuly 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
18.7%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.6%
18.3%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kapitan Stupino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kapitan Stupino's form might have worsened.
Sakhalinskie Akuly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sakhalinskie Akuly's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapitan Stupino than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kapitan Stupino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakhalinskie Akuly than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sakhalinskie Akuly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kapitan Stupino - Sakhalinskie Akuly Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
40. Gulkovsky K. (G)
52. Khachaturyan S. (G)
5. Sapozhnikov A. (C)
15. Tsoy R.
95. Dautov M. (A)
26. Bykov V. (C)
89. Rummo Y.
88. Vasilyuk M. (A)
78. Sulima V. (A)
87. Chechel M.
39. Kuzmin F.
21. Goryachev A.
Line 2
3. Safin E.
96. Ignatenko V.
4. Kruglikov D.
6. Aksarov V.
36. Kutishchev K.
13. Korenev D.
32. Fysyna R.
17. Cherepanov S.
47. Rakov P.
98. Polyatsko Y. (A)
Line 3
49. Pogorelov S.
75. Kuchiyev R.
81. Tarasov A.
72. Kryuk S.
7. Babenko M.
50. Krutenkov A.
62. Soshnikov A.
95. Ovchinnikov Y.
82. Drozdov V.
8. Plekhov A.
Line 4
94. Kozlov I.
11. Vinogradov S.
64. Zotov I.
77. Belov L.
71. Zaitsev M.
55. Vakhrushev M.
20. Vergeichik V.
86. Kozlov I.
37. Svetlakov T.
Substitutes
83. Menshenin Y.
1. Bai Y. (G)
50. Rudovich P. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
08:36, 0 - 1, Goryachev A. (G), Bykov V. (A),
14:04, 1 - 1, Sulima V. (G), Pogorelov S. (A), Rummo Y. (A2)
17:47, 1 - 2, Vasilyuk M. (G), Goryachev A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
16:28, 2 - 2, Sulima V. (G), Rummo Y. (A), Kuzmin F. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
07:02, 3 - 2, Zotov I. (G), Kuzmin F. (A), Fysyna R. (A2)
19:33, 4 - 2, Sulima V. (G), Kuzmin F. (A), Rummo Y. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapitan Stupino won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Kapitan Stupino has had a series of home games.
Recently, Sakhalinskie Akuly has had a series of away games.
Kapitan Stupino will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapitan Stupino won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 49:55. (average 2.5:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Kapitan Stupino won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:37. (average 2.5:3.1).
Watch
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Gulkovsky K. (G) 
Rummo Y. 
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