Match Info

NMHL

Date: 25 December 2025, Thursday


	Samara		Gvardiya Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	1.72	4.25	3.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.77)	4.25 ↑ (4.2)	3.57 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samara
53%

Draw
21.5%

Gvardiya Krasnodar
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

21.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

20.9%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Gvardiya Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samara than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gvardiya Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Samara - Gvardiya Krasnodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
04:49, 0 - 1, Maksudov A. (G), Kholodilin D. (A), Deryabin N. (A2)
12:39, 0 - 2, Podznoyev N. (G), Maksudov A. (A), Deryabin N. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
16:38, 1 - 2, Popov A. (G), Borodin N. (A), Zhomov A. (A2)
19:39, 2 - 2, Sokolov D. (G), Ponomaryov A. (A), Sobirov S. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:35, 3 - 2, Bunakov N. (G),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Samara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gvardiya has had a series of away games.

Samara will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Samara will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Including home match between the teams, Samara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Samara
RHL
24.12.25	Samara - Gvardiya Krasnodar	2:3 ✺
21.12.25	Samara - Belgorod	8:2 ✺
20.12.25	Samara - Belgorod	5:4 OT ✺
07.12.25	Bobrov - Samara	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Bobrov - Samara	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWLW
- Gvardiya Krasnodar
RHL
24.12.25	Samara - Gvardiya Krasnodar	2:3 ✺
21.12.25	Kristall Saratov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	5:2 ✺
20.12.25	Kristall Saratov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	5:7 ✺
17.12.25	Dizelist Penza - Gvardiya Krasnodar	2:1 OT ✺
16.12.25	Dizelist Penza - Gvardiya Krasnodar	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
24.12.25	Samara - Gvardiya Krasnodar	2:3

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