Match Info

AHL

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Pechanga Arena (San Diego, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	San Diego Gulls		Ontario Reign

	1	X	2
	2.75	4	2	Watch
	2.8	3.9	2.14
	2.83	3.87	2.1
	2.88	4	2.12	Watch
	2.75	3.8	2.1
	2.79	3.96	2.09	Watch
	2.55	3.75	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.41)	3.9 ↓ (4.18)	2.11 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Gulls
33.1%

Draw
23.5%

Ontario Reign
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

22.2%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

24.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Gulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Diego Gulls's form might have worsened.

Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Gulls than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego Gulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ontario Reign, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

San Diego Gulls - Ontario Reign Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Ontario will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ontario (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Clang C. (G)	29. Copley P. (G)
12. Bailey J.	59. Alexandrov N.
15. Brouillard N.	58. Bolduc S.
25. Burke C.	24. Booth A.
22. Carpenter R. (C)	91. Brown L.
28. Caulfield J.	8. Chromiak M.
17. Gaucher N.	37. Doty J.
5. Hinds T.	55. Dvorak J.
24. Howe T.	21. Gawdin G.
6. Luneau T.	81. Guttman C. (A)
37. McKeown R. (A)	27. Hicketts J. (C)
21. Myatovic N.	86. Jamsen A.
11. Mysak J.	19. Kirsanov K.
13. Nesterenko N.	22. Lawrence K.
16. Pastujov S.	26. Lee A. (A)
18. Phillips M. (A)	71. Pinelli F.
19. Sidorov Y.	12. Rego T.
7. Solberg S.	78. Wright J.
2. Warren N.	13. Ziemmer K.
Substitutes
30. Suchanek T. (G)	1. Portillo E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
10:09, 0 - 1, Lee A. (G), Kirsanov K. (A), Booth A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:26, 1 - 1, Caulfield J. (G), Hinds T. (A),
05:47, 1 - 2, Wright J. (G), Kirsanov K. (A), Ziemmer K. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
04:19, 2 - 2, Hinds T. (G), Caulfield J. (A), Myatovic N. (A2)
05:34, 2 - 3, Dvorak J. (G), Pinelli F. (A), Wright J. (A2)
10:38, 3 - 3, Carpenter R. (G), Luneau T. (A), Gaucher N. (A2)
19:42, 4 - 3, Gaucher N. (G), Nesterenko N. (A), Caulfield J. (A2)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 2.

In recent matches, San Diego has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ontario is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

San Diego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 57:58. (average 2.9:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 3:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

San Diego Gulls - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.49%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.

Ontario Reign - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.31%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Gulls
AHL
30.01.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - San Diego Gulls	3:4 ✺
28.01.26	San Diego Gulls - Tucson Roadrunners	3:4 penalties ✺
25.01.26	Abbotsford Canucks - San Diego Gulls	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Abbotsford Canucks - San Diego Gulls	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Tucson Roadrunners - San Diego Gulls	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLLW
- Ontario Reign
AHL
28.01.26	Ontario Reign - Abbotsford Canucks	5:2 ✺
24.01.26	Ontario Reign - Colorado Eagles	4:1 ✺
23.01.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign	2:3 OT ✺
18.01.26	Texas Stars - Ontario Reign	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Texas Stars - Ontario Reign	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
08.11.25	Ontario Reign - San Diego Gulls	4:3 OT
07.11.25	San Diego Gulls - Ontario Reign	6:4
05.10.25	Ontario Reign - San Diego Gulls	3:2
18.04.25	Ontario Reign - San Diego Gulls	2:1
08.03.25	San Diego Gulls - Ontario Reign	5:3
07.03.25	Ontario Reign - San Diego Gulls	2:3 OT
08.02.25	Ontario Reign - San Diego Gulls	4:5 OT

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