The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colorado Eagles 46.4%
Draw 21.4%
Bakersfield Condors 32.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.4%
22.7%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
23.5%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colorado Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colorado Eagles's performance.
Bakersfield Condors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bakersfield Condors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Eagles than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colorado Eagles that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bakersfield Condors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Colorado Eagles - Bakersfield Condors Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Nabokov I. (G)
40. Day N. (G)
34. Beckman A.
82. Akey B.
2. Behrens S.
44. Brown J. (A)
54. Brindley G.
73. Carfagna D.
74. Connors R.
78. Cibulka T.
14. DiMarsico M.
19. D'Amato D.
3. Fensore D.
39. Griffith S. (C)
28. Gagne A.
23. Hutson Q.
58. Gay C.
63. Keppen E.
18. Hinostroza V.
57. Marjala V.
55. Jedlicka M.
56. Nicholl W.
21. Megna J. (C)
68. Pitlick R.
67. Middleton K. (A)
38. Raty Aku
57. Nielsen T.
51. Robertson T.
85. Prishchepov N.
81. Samanski J.
44. Stjernberg G.
79. Sjolund S.
20. Turcotte Y.
61. Stillman R. (A)
48. Wise J.
86. Tassy S.
86. Wolanin C. (A)
36. Tralmaks E.
Substitutes
50. Miner T. (G)
35. Jonsson S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
07:57, 0 - 1, Raty Aku (G), Marjala V. (A), Cibulka T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
14:17, 1 - 1, Prishchepov N. (G),
15:35, 1 - 2, Robertson T. (G), Stillman R. (A),
18:03, 1 - 3, Griffith S. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
14:32, 1 - 4, Raty Aku (G), Samanski J. (A), Sjolund S. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Bakersfield could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Bakersfield has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Colorado in today's match, at odds of 2.11.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Colorado has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:57 (averaging 3.1:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Colorado against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 31:25 goals (averaging 3.4:2.8 per game).
Outrights of AHL for now
Colorado Eagles: 7.13% Bakersfield Condors: 2.74%
Last Results with these Odds
Colorado Eagles - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.4%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.