The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colorado Eagles 46.8%
Draw 22.2%
Bakersfield Condors 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.7%
22.9%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
25.6%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colorado Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Bakersfield Condors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Eagles than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (+3%)
Colorado Eagles - Bakersfield Condors Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Posch I. (G)
30. Pickard C. (G)
5. Aamodt W. (A)
82. Akey B.
15. Ahcan J.
44. Brown J.
72. Barre-Boulet A.
73. Carfagna D.
2. Behrens S.
19. D'Amato D.
38. Bradley C.
55. Dineen C. (A)
48. Felhaber T.
39. Griffith S. (C)
45. Gagne A.
52. Hamblin J. (A)
75. Gushchin D.
53. Howard I.
82. Ivan I.
23. Hutson Q.
. MacDonald J.
15. Jarventie R.
16. Makar T.
46. Jones M.
21. Megna J. (C)
37. Leppanen A.
67. Middleton K. (A)
57. Marjala V.
57. Nielsen T.
68. Pitlick R.
14. Polin J.
8. Poulin S.
83. Puustinen V.
75. Regula A.
51. Senden M.
81. Samanski J.
28. Wise J.
61. Stillman R.
Substitutes
50. Miner T. (G)
90. Tomkins M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
13:44, 1 - 0, Ahcan J. (G), MacDonald J. (A), Gushchin D. (A2)
17:01, 2 - 0, Senden M. (G), Behrens S. (A), Bradley C. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
09:38, 3 - 0, Gushchin D. (G), Wise J. (A), MacDonald J. (A2)
19:48, 3 - 1, Hamblin J. (G), Jones M. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
05:49, 3 - 2, Leppanen A. (G), Regula A. (A),
18:47, 3 - 3, Jarventie R. (G), Hamblin J. (A), Dineen C. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:31, 3 - 4, Hamblin J. (G), Jones M. (A),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Colorado will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 53:53. (average 2.7:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Colorado won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 2.8:2.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Colorado Eagles - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.73%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.