Match Info

NHL

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: SAP Center (San Jose, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	San Jose Sharks		Pittsburgh Penguins

	1	X	2
	3.1	4.25	2	Watch
	2.99	4.5	2.04
	3.07	4.36	1.99	Watch
	2.92	4.67	2.11
	2.8	4.2	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.07)	4.4 ↑ (4.36)	2.05 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Jose Sharks
32%

Draw
21.6%

Pittsburgh Penguins
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

21.7%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

20.7%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Jose Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	35.7%	35.7%

San Jose Sharks - Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 10.6% – 60.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. San Jose (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Pittsburgh (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Pittsburgh (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. San Jose (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Pittsburgh (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Nedeljkovic A. (G)	35. Jarry T. (G)
4. Leddy N.	65. Karlsson E.
9. Orlov D.	28. Wotherspoon P.
96. Kurashev P.	17. Rust B.
71. Celebrini M.	87. Crosby S. (C)
53. Skinner J.	67. Rakell R.
Line 2
22. Iorio V.	58. Letang K. (A)
38. Ferraro M. (A)	5. Shea R.
73. Toffoli T. (A)	16. Brazeau J.
21. Wennberg A. (A)	71. Malkin E. (A)
72. Eklund W.	39. Mantha A.
Line 3
5. Desharnais V.	45. Brunicke H.
6. Dickinson S.	82. Jones C.
2. Smith W.	11. Hallander F.
10. Dellandrea T.	81. Kindel B.
51. Graf C.	18. Novak T.
Line 4
75. Reaves R.	55. Acciari N.
81. Gaudette A.	46. Lizotte B.
23. Goodrow B.	19. Dewar C.
Substitutes
30. Askarov Y. (G)	37. Silovs A. (G)
Coaches
. Warsofsky R.	. Muse D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:35, 0 - 1, Crosby S. (G), Letang K. (A), Rakell R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
07:02, 0 - 2, Mantha A. (G), Brazeau J. (A), Malkin E. (A2)
12:34, Rust B. (2 min),
15:05, Leddy N. (2 min),
16:25, Crosby S. (2 min),
19:38, 0 - 3, Malkin E. (G), Crosby S. (A), Karlsson E. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 1.

San Jose has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pittsburgh has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

San Jose may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pittsburgh is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in San Jose: Couture L. (Groin Injury) Liljegren T. (Upper-Body Injury) Price C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Pittsburgh: Hayes K. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in San Jose: Klingberg J. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 55:66. (average 2.8:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:32. (average 2.1:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Pittsburgh Penguins - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 47.51%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Jose Sharks
NHL
17.10.25	Utah Mammoth - San Jose Sharks	6:3 ✺
14.10.25	San Jose Sharks - Carolina Hurricanes	1:5 ✺
11.10.25	San Jose Sharks - Anaheim Ducks	6:7 OT ✺
09.10.25	San Jose Sharks - Vegas Golden Knights	3:4 OT ✺
04.10.25	Utah Mammoth - San Jose Sharks	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
16.10.25	Los Angeles Kings - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:4 ✺
14.10.25	Anaheim Ducks - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:3 ✺
11.10.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - New York Rangers	1:6 ✺
09.10.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - New York Islanders	4:3 ✺
07.10.25	New York Rangers - Pittsburgh Penguins	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
27.01.25	San Jose Sharks - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:1
16.11.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - San Jose Sharks	4:3 penalties
14.03.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - San Jose Sharks	6:3
04.11.23	San Jose Sharks - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:10
14.02.23	San Jose Sharks - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:3
28.01.23	Pittsburgh Penguins - San Jose Sharks	4:6
15.01.22	San Jose Sharks - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:2 OT

San Jose Sharks - Pittsburgh Penguins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide