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Current Win Probability
Pittsburgh Penguins 35.7%
Draw 22.8%
New York Islanders 41.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
21.8%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
21.1%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
New York Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
25%
16.7%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). NY Islanders will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Pittsburgh (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1 - Pittsburgh (3.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pittsburgh Penguins will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Jarry T. (G)
30. Sorokin I. (G)
65. Karlsson E.
77. DeAngelo A.
28. Wotherspoon P.
28. Romanov A.
67. Rakell R.
51. Heineman E.
87. Crosby S. (C)
14. Horvat B.
41. Koivunen V.
29. Drouin J.
Line 2
58. Letang K. (A)
6. Pulock R.
5. Shea R.
3. Pelech A.
16. Brazeau J.
21. Palmieri K.
71. Malkin E. (A)
13. Barzal M.
39. Mantha A.
27. Lee A. (C)
Line 3
45. Brunicke H.
24. Mayfield S.
82. Jones C.
48. Schaefer M.
11. Hallander F.
10. Holmstrom S.
81. Kindel B.
44. Pageau J.
18. Novak T.
49. Shabanov M.
Line 4
55. Acciari N.
7. Tsyplakov M.
46. Lizotte B.
53. Cizikas C.
53. Tomasino P.
11. Duclair A.
Substitutes
37. Silovs A. (G)
33. Rittich D. (G)
Coaches
. Muse D.
. Roy P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
03:00, Romanov A. (2 min),
03:23, 1 - 0, Malkin E. (G), Crosby S. (A), Rakell R. (A2)
07:41, Acciari N. (2 min),
12:02, 1 - 1, Drouin J. (G), Schaefer M. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
04:04, 1 - 2, Palmieri K. (G), Barzal M. (A), Mayfield S. (A2)
05:41, 2 - 2, Brunicke H. (G), Hallander F. (A), Novak T. (A2)
07:00, Wotherspoon P. (2 min),
07:00, Palmieri K. (2 min),
08:43, Horvat B. (2 min),
08:58, 3 - 2, Crosby S. (G), Malkin E. (A), Rakell R. (A2)
11:40, Karlsson E. (2 min),
13:38, Barzal M. (2 min),
19:19, 3 - 3, Shabanov M. (G), Holmstrom S. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:15, Holmstrom S. (2 min),
14:21, 4 - 3, Brazeau J. (G), Malkin E. (A), Mantha A. (A2)
16:15, Kindel B. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 1.
Pittsburgh is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, NY Islanders has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Pittsburgh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Pittsburgh: Blomqvist J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Hayes K.
(Upper-Body Injury)
McGroarty R.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Rust B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
St.Ivany J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in NY Islanders: Varlamov S.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in NY Islanders: Bear E.
(Injury)
We predict that Pittsburgh will win today's game, with odds of 2.62.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 63:70. (average 3.2:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 3:3).
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Last Results with these Odds
Pittsburgh Penguins - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.94%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
New York Islanders - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40.27%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.
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Jarry T. (G) 
Sorokin I. (G) 
Karlsson E. 
DeAngelo A. 
Koivunen V. 
Silovs A. (G) 
Rittich D. (G) 
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