The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Jose Sharks 43.3%
Draw 22.4%
Toronto Maple Leafs 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
22.8%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
24%
35.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
25%
12.5%
San Jose Sharks - Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Nedeljkovic A. (G)
41. Stolarz A. (G)
5. Desharnais V.
25. Carlo B.
9. Orlov D.
44. Rielly M. (A)
2. Smith W.
88. Nylander W. (A)
71. Celebrini M. (A)
91. Tavares J. (A)
92. Chernyshov I. (A)
53. Cowan E.
Line 2
38. Ferraro M.
28. Stecher T.
85. Mukhamadullin S.
22. McCabe J.
44. Sherwood K.
63. Maccelli M.
21. Wennberg A.
29. Groulx B.
72. Eklund W.
23. Knies M.
Line 3
4. Leddy N.
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
6. Dickinson S.
2. Benoit S.
73. Toffoli T.
89. Robertson N.
77. Misa M.
11. Domi M.
51. Graf C.
81. Joshua D.
Line 4
81. Gaudette A.
19. Jarnkrok C.
63. Ostapchuk Z.
26. Quillan J.
23. Goodrow B. (A)
18. Lorentz S.
Substitutes
30. Askarov Y. (G)
60. Woll J. (G)
Coaches
. Warsofsky R.
. Berube C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
03:27, 1 - 0, Ostapchuk Z. (G), Goodrow B. (A), Orlov D. (A2)
17:43, 2 - 0, Graf C. (G), Misa M. (A), Toffoli T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:42, 3 - 0, Eklund W. (G), Wennberg A. (A), Sherwood K. (A2)
05:35, Misa M. (2 min),
06:43, 3 - 1, Tavares J. (G), Cowan E. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
07:23, Joshua D. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:03, Joshua D. (2 min),
19:03, 4 - 1, Gaudette A. (G), Eklund W. (A), Ostapchuk Z. (A2)
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
San Jose may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in San Jose: Couture L.
(Groin Injury)
Price C.
(Knee Injury)
Reaves R.
(Hand Injury)
There will not play in Toronto: Matthews A.
(Knee Injury)
Tanev C.
(Abdominal strain)
There are questionable in San Jose: Dellandrea T.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Klingberg J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 64:62. (average 3.2:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 3.7:2.9).
Outrights of NHL for now
Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.48% San Jose Sharks: 2.05%
Last Results with these Odds
San Jose Sharks - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.72%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Toronto Maple Leafs - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.51%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.
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Nedeljkovic A. (G) 
Desharnais V. 
Orlov D. 
Nylander W. (A) 
Maccelli M. 
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