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San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, April 02, 2026)

Match Info

NHL

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: SAP Center (San Jose, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	San Jose Sharks		Toronto Maple Leafs

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.2	2.8	Watch
	2.25	4.05	2.8
	2.2	4.4	2.79
	2.19	4.4	2.71	Watch
	2.1	4	2.63
	2.22	4.36	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.38)	4.24 ↑ (4.15)	2.76 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Jose Sharks
43.3%

Draw
22.4%

Toronto Maple Leafs
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

22.8%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

24%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Jose Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Nedeljkovic A. (G)	41. Stolarz A. (G)
5. Desharnais V.	25. Carlo B.
9. Orlov D.	44. Rielly M. (A)
2. Smith W.	88. Nylander W. (A)
71. Celebrini M. (A)	91. Tavares J. (A)
92. Chernyshov I. (A)	53. Cowan E.
Line 2
38. Ferraro M.	28. Stecher T.
85. Mukhamadullin S.	22. McCabe J.
44. Sherwood K.	63. Maccelli M.
21. Wennberg A.	29. Groulx B.
72. Eklund W.	23. Knies M.
Line 3
4. Leddy N.	95. Ekman-Larsson O.
6. Dickinson S.	2. Benoit S.
73. Toffoli T.	89. Robertson N.
77. Misa M.	11. Domi M.
51. Graf C.	81. Joshua D.
Line 4
81. Gaudette A.	19. Jarnkrok C.
63. Ostapchuk Z.	26. Quillan J.
23. Goodrow B. (A)	18. Lorentz S.
Substitutes
30. Askarov Y. (G)	60. Woll J. (G)
Coaches
. Warsofsky R.	. Berube C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
03:27, 1 - 0, Ostapchuk Z. (G), Goodrow B. (A), Orlov D. (A2)
17:43, 2 - 0, Graf C. (G), Misa M. (A), Toffoli T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:42, 3 - 0, Eklund W. (G), Wennberg A. (A), Sherwood K. (A2)
05:35, Misa M. (2 min),
06:43, 3 - 1, Tavares J. (G), Cowan E. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
07:23, Joshua D. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:03, Joshua D. (2 min),
19:03, 4 - 1, Gaudette A. (G), Eklund W. (A), Ostapchuk Z. (A2)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

San Jose may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in San Jose: Couture L. (Groin Injury) Price C. (Knee Injury) Reaves R. (Hand Injury)

There will not play in Toronto: Matthews A. (Knee Injury) Tanev C. (Abdominal strain)

There are questionable in San Jose: Dellandrea T. (Lower-Body Injury) Klingberg J. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 64:62. (average 3.2:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 3.7:2.9).

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Last Results with these Odds

San Jose Sharks - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.72%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Jose Sharks
NHL
01.04.26	San Jose Sharks - Anaheim Ducks	4:3 ✺
30.03.26	San Jose Sharks - St. Louis Blues	5:4 ✺
28.03.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - San Jose Sharks	2:3 ✺
26.03.26	St. Louis Blues - San Jose Sharks	2:1 OT ✺
24.03.26	Nashville Predators - San Jose Sharks	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWLL
- Toronto Maple Leafs
NHL
30.03.26	Anaheim Ducks - Toronto Maple Leafs	4:5 OT ✺
28.03.26	St. Louis Blues - Toronto Maple Leafs	5:1 ✺
25.03.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Rangers	4:3 ✺
24.03.26	Boston Bruins - Toronto Maple Leafs	2:4 ✺
21.03.26	Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
11.12.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - San Jose Sharks	2:3 OT
27.03.25	San Jose Sharks - Toronto Maple Leafs	6:5 penalties
03.03.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - San Jose Sharks	2:3 penalties
09.01.24	Toronto Maple Leafs - San Jose Sharks	7:1
06.01.24	San Jose Sharks - Toronto Maple Leafs	1:4
30.11.22	Toronto Maple Leafs - San Jose Sharks	3:1
27.10.22	San Jose Sharks - Toronto Maple Leafs	4:3 OT

San Jose Sharks - Toronto Maple Leafs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide