Match Info

NHL

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: TD Garden (Boston, MA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Boston Bruins		Toronto Maple Leafs

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.25	3.6	Watch
	1.85	4.55	3.5
	1.83	4.5	3.6
	1.81	4.48	3.59	Watch
	1.8	4	3.3
	1.88	4.52	3.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.99)	4.38 ↑ (4.26)	3.53 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston Bruins
51.6%

Draw
21.6%

Toronto Maple Leafs
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

22.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

21.9%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Bruins than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	5%	5%

Boston Bruins - Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Boston Bruins will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Swayman J. (G)	41. Stolarz A. (G)
73. McAvoy C. (A)	25. Carlo B.
45. Aspirot J.	44. Rielly M. (A)
88. Pastrnak D. (A)	88. Nylander W.
93. Minten F.	91. Tavares J. (A)
92. Khusnutdinov M.	53. Cowan E.
Line 2
6. Lohrei M.	28. Stecher T.
27. Lindholm H. (A)	22. McCabe J. (A)
71. Arvidsson V.	89. Robertson N.
18. Zacha P.	11. Domi M.
11. Mittelstadt C.	23. Knies M.
Line 3
20. Jokiharju H.	51. Myers P.
91. Zadorov N.	2. Benoit S.
39. Geekie M.	81. Joshua D.
28. Lindholm E.	29. Groulx B.
75. Reichel L.	63. Maccelli M.
Line 4
47. Kastelic M.	61. Pezzetta M.
52. Kuraly S.	26. Quillan J.
84. Jeannot T.	18. Lorentz S.
Substitutes
70. Korpisalo J. (G)	60. Woll J. (G)
Coaches
. Sturm M.	. Berube C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
05:04, 1 - 0, Lindholm E. (G), Geekie M. (A), Jokiharju H. (A2)
05:35, Pezzetta M. (2 min),
15:26, Mittelstadt C. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
03:15, Joshua D. (2 min),
05:37, Carlo B. (2 min),
07:27, 1 - 1, Knies M. (G),
07:51, McCabe J. (2 min),
16:42, Jokiharju H. (2 min),
17:53, Cowan E. (2 min),
17:53, Zadorov N. (5 min),
18:08, 1 - 2, Domi M. (G), Tavares J. (A), Ekman-Larsson O. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
03:00, 1 - 3, Nylander W. (G), Tavares J. (A), McCabe J. (A2)
03:03, Zadorov N. (5 min),
03:03, Joshua D. (5 min),
04:08, Knies M. (2 min),
05:08, 2 - 3, McAvoy C. (G), Pastrnak D. (A), Zacha P. (A2)
18:56, Mittelstadt C. (2 min),
19:38, 2 - 4, Knies M. (G), Nylander W. (A), Tavares J. (A2)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston won 2.

In recent matches, Boston has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Toronto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Boston has had a series of away games.

Boston will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Toronto: Matthews A. (Knee Injury) Rielly M. (Lower-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Abdominal strain)

There are questionable in Toronto: Stolarz A. (Neck Injury)

We predict that Boston will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 66:49. (average 3.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:25. (average 3.3:2.3).

Outrights of NHL for now

Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.45% Boston Bruins: 0.78%

Last Results with these Odds

Boston Bruins - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 47.51%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston Bruins
NHL
21.03.26	Detroit Red Wings - Boston Bruins	2:4 ✺
19.03.26	Boston Bruins - Winnipeg Jets	6:1 ✺
17.03.26	Montreal Canadiens - Boston Bruins	3:2 OT ✺
16.03.26	New Jersey Devils - Boston Bruins	4:3 OT ✺
14.03.26	Washington Capitals - Boston Bruins	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLLW
- Toronto Maple Leafs
NHL
21.03.26	Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs	5:2 ✺
20.03.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Carolina Hurricanes	3:4 OT ✺
17.03.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders	1:3 ✺
15.03.26	Minnesota Wild - Toronto Maple Leafs	2:4 ✺
14.03.26	Buffalo Sabres - Toronto Maple Leafs	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
11.11.25	Boston Bruins - Toronto Maple Leafs	5:3
08.11.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Boston Bruins	3:5
25.02.25	Boston Bruins - Toronto Maple Leafs	4:5 OT
04.01.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Boston Bruins	6:4
05.11.24	Toronto Maple Leafs - Boston Bruins	4:0
26.10.24	Boston Bruins - Toronto Maple Leafs	4:3 OT
04.05.24	Boston Bruins - Toronto Maple Leafs	2:1 OT

Boston Bruins - Toronto Maple Leafs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide