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Current Win Probability
Toronto Maple Leafs 35.4%
Draw 22.6%
New York Rangers 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
22.2%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
23%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
New York Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Rangers Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). NY Rangers will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 2.5% – 64.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
60. Woll J. (G)
31. Shesterkin I. (G)
25. Carlo B.
23. Fox A.
44. Rielly M. (A)
44. Gavrikov V.
88. Nylander W. (A)
13. Lafreniere A.
91. Tavares J. (A)
93. Zibanejad M.
53. Cowan E.
94. Perreault G.
Line 2
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
17. Borgen W.
22. McCabe J.
4. Schneider B.
89. Robertson N.
. Sykora A.
11. Domi M.
16. Trocheck V.
23. Knies M.
50. Cuylle W.
Line 3
28. Stecher T.
6. Iorio V.
2. Benoit S.
29. Robertson M.
81. Joshua D.
43. Sheary C.
29. Groulx B.
8. Miller J.T.
63. Maccelli M.
24. Kartye T.
Line 4
61. Pezzetta M.
49. Chmelar J.
26. Quillan J.
22. Brodzinski J.
18. Lorentz S.
14. Raddysh T.
Substitutes
41. Stolarz A. (G)
33. Garand D. (G)
Coaches
. Berube C.
. Sullivan M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
05:15, 1 - 0, McCabe J. (G), Maccelli M. (A), Joshua D. (A2)
12:08, 2 - 0, Robertson N. (G), Domi M. (A),
16:55, Robertson M. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:22, Joshua D. (2 min),
05:41, 3 - 0, Joshua D. (G), Maccelli M. (A), Woll J. (A2)
09:55, Benoit S. (2 min),
10:16, 3 - 1, Lafreniere A. (G), Miller J.T. (A), Fox A. (A2)
17:02, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
18:01, 3 - 2, Zibanejad M. (G), Lafreniere A. (A), Fox A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:20, Schneider B. (2 min),
11:57, 4 - 2, Tavares J. (G),
13:04, 4 - 3, Zibanejad M. (G), Perreault G. (A), Lafreniere A. (A2)
19:40, McCabe J. (2 min),
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
Toronto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
NY Rangers has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, NY Rangers has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Toronto: Matthews A.
(Knee Injury)
Tanev C.
(Abdominal strain)
There will not play in NY Rangers: Laba N.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Quick J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Rempe M.
(Finger Injury)
Vaakanainen U.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 58:65. (average 2.9:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 2.5:2.8).
Outrights of NHL for now
Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.48% New York Rangers: 1.2%
Last Results with these Odds
New York Rangers - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.11%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.