The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Maple Leafs 38.5%
Draw 22.5%
New York Rangers 38.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.4%
23.7%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
24.3%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
New York Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Rangers than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
37.5%
25%
Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Rangers Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). NY Rangers will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 4% โ 71%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Rangers (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
72. Bobrovsky S. (G)
33. Garand D. (G)
43. Raddysh D.
23. Fox A. (A)
22. McCabe J.
44. Gavrikov V.
96. Roslovic J.
13. Lafreniere A.
34. Matthews A. (C)
93. Zibanejad M. (A)
53. Cowan E.
94. Perreault G.
Line 2
28. Stecher T.
5. Durzi S.
44. Rielly M. (A)
26. Pettersson M.
88. Nylander W.
16. Dorofeyev P.
20. Paul N.
10. Miller J.T. (C)
86. Marchenko K.
24. Kartye T.
Line 3
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
4. Schneider B.
83. Rifai M.
12. Smits A.
71. Lettieri V.
17. Tolvanen E.
15. Sissons C.
42. Laba N.
92. McKenna G.
50. Cuylle W.
Line 4
19. MacEwen Z.
14. Raddysh T.
73. Blueger T.
37. Dowling J.
24. Duhaime B.
28. Bjorkstrand O.
Substitutes
41. Stolarz A. (G)
41. Martin S. (G)
Coaches
. Hiller J.
. Sullivan M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
01:36, 1 - 0, Cowan E. (G), McCabe J. (A), Roslovic J. (A2)
05:39, 1 - 1, Zibanejad M. (G), Gavrikov V. (A), Fox A. (A2)
10:01, 2 - 1, Blueger T. (G), Duhaime B. (A), MacEwen Z. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
02:37, 2 - 2, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Dowling J. (A), Fox A. (A2)
06:30, 2 - 3, Kartye T. (G), Fox A. (A), Dorofeyev P. (A2)
08:00, 3 - 3, Duhaime B. (G), MacEwen Z. (A), Blueger T. (A2)
17:56, Lafreniere A. (2 min),
19:09, 4 - 3, Marchenko K. (G), McKenna G. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:59, Gavrikov V. (2 min),
09:15, Roslovic J. (2 min),
14:25, 4 - 4, Lafreniere A. (G), Fox A. (A), Zibanejad M. (A2)
19:32, 5 - 4, Stecher T. (G), Rielly M. (A), Duhaime B. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 7th in the Promotion - NHL Playoffs and 3rd in the Promotion - NHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Toronto may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Toronto: Domi M.
(Back Injury)
Merzlikins E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tanev C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Tavares J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wood M.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for NY Rangers: Korpisalo J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Shesterkin I.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sykora A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Veleno J.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Toronto: McCabe J.
(Face Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toronto has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:65 (averaging 2.9:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Toronto against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 24:28 goals (averaging 2.4:2.8 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.22% New York Rangers: 0.98%
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto Maple Leafs - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 40.42%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.
New York Rangers - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.84%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.
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Bobrovsky S. (G) 
Garand D. (G) 
Fox A. (A) 
Zibanejad M. (A) 
Smits A. 
Tolvanen E. 
Bjorkstrand O. 
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