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Current Win Probability
Seattle Thunderbirds 30.6%
Draw 21.9%
Kelowna Rockets 47.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
20.7%
44.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
23.1%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seattle Thunderbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Kelowna Rockets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seattle Thunderbirds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kelowna Rockets than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kelowna Rockets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Sklenicka M. (G)
30. Boettiger H. (G)
17. Bibeau E.
6. Alcos P.
36. Cail C.
20. Cihar V.
3. Cumby A. (A)
22. Corbet N. (A)
9. Dunn C. (A)
21. Folstrom O.
16. England B.
18. Gerwing D.
7. Gard M.
29. Gojsic H.
2. Hocher B.
26. Guest R.
24. Holberton B.
17. Halaburda T.
71. Kosick N.
3. Hayden O.
27. Laraque M.
27. Henderson J.
22. Lovsin S. (C)
11. Iginla T. (A)
89. Martorana A.
25. Kehrig J.
14. Mayes S. (A)
4. Leslie M. (A)
26. Miller L.
2. McInnis K.
21. Mrtka R.
12. Pankratz C.
6. Popil V.
23. Paupanekis H.
25. Riley T.
10. Poletin T.
91. Schmidt C.
9. Smith S.
74. Tash G.
16. Wetsch C. (C)
Substitutes
31. Malinoski G. (G)
1. Kam N. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
00:21, 0 - 1, Gojsic H. (G), Guest R. (A), Halaburda T. (A2)
04:16, 1 - 1, England B. (G), Martorana A. (A), Mrtka R. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
03:48, 1 - 2, Wetsch C. (G), Iginla T. (A), Alcos P. (A2)
07:07, 1 - 3, Paupanekis H. (G), Wetsch C. (A),
12:45, 2 - 3, England B. (G), Martorana A. (A), Lovsin S. (A2)
15:05, 2 - 4, Leslie M. (G), Smith S. (A), Paupanekis H. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
08:37, 2 - 5, Iginla T. (G), Leslie M. (A),
14:18, 3 - 5, Schmidt C. (G), Dunn C. (A),
17:59, 3 - 6, Iginla T. (G), McInnis K. (A), Wetsch C. (A2)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Seattle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 62:49. (average 3.1:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 3:2.2).