Match Info

Extraleague

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Shakhtyor Soligorsk		Baranovichy

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.75	5.75
	1.29	6.70	6.82
	1.26	6.55	6.65
	1.25	5.95	7.70	Watch
	1.25	5.40	7.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.38)	6.07 ↑ (5.36)	6.86 ↑ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtyor Soligorsk
71.6%

Draw
15.1%

Baranovichy
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

17.2%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

18.7%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtyor Soligorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Baranovichy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtyor Soligorsk than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shakhtyor Soligorsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baranovichy than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Baranovichy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Rudovich P. (G)	30. Sementsov N. (G)
22. Yaruta K.	68. Kozich A.
13. Grigorkevich D.	3. Sazanovich A.
47. Chizhikov Y.	16. Bourosh D.
88. Nesterov G.	15. Shilo V.
19. Ryadchenko V.	77. Lapin I.
Line 2
89. Korobov D.	4. Rogach D.
82. Lyubchich A.	76. Lupachyov V.
77. Verenich N.	78. Krein T.
90. Sergeev A.	41. Klimov D.
11. Gumenyuk A.	13. Astashevich A.
Line 3
27. Bokun D.	8. Kalin Y.
24. Berezovsky Y.	96. Kostko I.
67. Buiko V.	97. Sereda A.
33. Yaruta M.	23. Martynets D.
12. Azhgirei P.	42. Matlakhov A.
Line 4
18. Nikitin M.	47. Yukhnevich I.
87. Pyshkaylo F.	27. Vertinsky A.
26. Loy D.	21. Koshevoy P.
81. Ladutsko M.	19. Paranin I.
Substitutes
37. Snytko A. (G)	35. Kiverov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
05:06, 1 - 0, Yaruta M. (G), Grigorkevich D. (A),
06:19, 1 - 1, Sereda A. (G), Martynets D. (A), Paranin I. (A2)
12:03, 2 - 1, Verenich N. (G), Sergeev A. (A), Bokun D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
02:03, 2 - 2, Matlakhov A. (G), Martynets D. (A), Kalin Y. (A2)
04:18, 2 - 3, Lupachyov V. (G),
13:34, 3 - 3, Yaruta K. (G), Loy D. (A),
14:56, 3 - 4, Martynets D. (G), Sereda A. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:54, 4 - 4, Loy D. (G),
19:09, 4 - 5, Shilo V. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhtyor Soligorsk won 5.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Recently, Baranovichy has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The betting markets point to Shakhtyor Soligorsk as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Shakhtyor Soligorsk has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 51:11 (averaging 3.9:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Shakhtyor Soligorsk against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 36:8 goals (averaging 5.1:1.1 per game).

Outrights of Belarusian Extraleague for now

Soligorsk: 13.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Soligorsk	11	8	0	1	2	52:28	17
9	Baranavichy	11	5	0	1	5	37:42	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Shakhtyor Soligorsk
Belarusian Extraleague
03.10.26	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Baranovichy	4:2 ✺
30.09.26	Slavutych Smolensk - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	5:1 ✺
28.09.26	Slavutych Smolensk - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	4:3 penalties ✺
23.09.26	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Mogilev	4:1 ✺
21.09.26	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Mogilev	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWW
- HK Baranavichy
Belarusian Extraleague
03.10.26	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Baranovichy	4:2 ✺
30.09.26	Baranovichy - Yunost Minsk	5:0 ✺
28.09.26	Baranovichy - Yunost Minsk	5:2 ✺
23.09.26	Baranovichy - Metallurg Zhlobin	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Baranovichy - Metallurg Zhlobin	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
03.10.26	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Baranovichy	4:2
Belarusian Cup Hockey
10.08.26	Baranovichy - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	3:4 AET
Belarusian Extraleague
01.03.26	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Baranovichy	4:0
27.02.26	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Baranovichy	3:2 penalties
18.11.25	Baranovichy - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	0:2
16.11.25	Baranovichy - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	0:2
Belarusian Cup Hockey
05.08.25	Baranovichy - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	0:2

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