Match Info

KHL

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Sibir Arena (Novosibirsk)


	Sibir Novosibirsk		Avangard Omsk

	1	X	2
	4.42	4.31	1.75	Watch
	3.75	4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (3.96)	4.16 ↓ (4.72)	1.68 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sibir Novosibirsk
22.6%

Draw
22.2%

Avangard Omsk
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

20.6%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

19.5%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Avangard Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Omsk than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Sibir Novosibirsk - Avangard Omsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sibir will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Avangard will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sibir: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sibir (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Krasotkin A. (G)	1. Mishurov A. (G)
22. Priskie C.	44. Sharipzyanov D. (C)
9. Zaitsev Y.	55. Cecconi J.
85. Beck T. (A)	83. Volkov A.
12. Nekolenko A.	9. McLeod M.
20. Wilson S.	53. Kotlyarevsky M.
Line 2
91. Valitov D.	66. Chistyakov S. (A)
21. Alanov Y.	88. Blazhiyevsky A.
11. Koshelev S.	17. Okulov K.
97. Abramov M.	92. Ponomaryov V.
15. Kosolapov A.	96. Rashevsky D.
Line 3
38. Baklashev N.	58. Lajoie M.
74. Orlov M.	26. Voynov V.
82. Chekhovich I.	65. Yakupov N.
45. Pyanov V. (A)	74. Prokhorkin N. (A)
10. Fedotov I.	22. Poturalski A.
Line 4
27. Gordeev F.	14. Igumnov I.
24. Sushko M.	28. Ibragimov M.
26. Klimovich I.	70. Martynov I.
52. Shirokov S. (C)
Substitutes
1. Berdin M. (G)	54. Serebryakov N. (G)
28. Pershakov A.
Coaches
. Lyuzenkov Y.	. Boucher G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:08, 1 - 0, Abramov M. (G), Koshelev S. (A), Kosolapov A. (A2)
10:27, 1 - 1, Poturalski A. (G), Cecconi J. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 3)
00:53, 1 - 2, Okulov K. (G), Rashevsky D. (A),
08:25, 1 - 3, Okulov K. (G),
09:10, Chekhovich I. (2 min),
10:40, 1 - 4, Chistyakov S. (G), Rashevsky D. (A),
10:53, Blazhiyevsky A. (2 min),
13:26, Chistyakov S. (2 min),
14:18, 2 - 4, Kosolapov A. (G), Beck T. (A), Alanov Y. (A2)
15:15, Rashevsky D. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:04, 2 - 5, Sharipzyanov D. (G), Okulov K. (A),
19:18, Voynov V. (2 min),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sibir won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Avangard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Avangard has had a series of home games.

In this match, Avangard is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sibir won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 46:57. (average 2.3:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sibir won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 3:2.8).

Outrights of KHL for now

Avangard Omsk: 7.33%

Last Results with these Odds

Sibir Novosibirsk - the odds 3.96 are the expected chance of winning is 24.53%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Avangard Omsk - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 54.89%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
30.12.25	Amur Khabarovsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:3 OT ✺
28.12.25	Admiral Vladivostok - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:3 OT ✺
26.12.25	Admiral Vladivostok - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:4 ✺
23.12.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	0:5 ✺
21.12.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Amur Khabarovsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWLW
- Avangard Omsk
KHL
30.12.25	Avangard Omsk - Barys Astana	2:4 ✺
28.12.25	Avangard Omsk - Lada Togliatti	4:3 penalties ✺
26.12.25	Avangard Omsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:1 penalties ✺
24.12.25	Avangard Omsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	4:3 OT ✺
20.12.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avangard Omsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
16.12.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Avangard Omsk	4:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
20.08.25	Avangard Omsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:2 OT
KHL
17.12.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Avangard Omsk	3:5
30.09.24	Avangard Omsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:2
15.09.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Avangard Omsk	4:1
04.09.24	Avangard Omsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.24	Avangard Omsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2 OT

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