Match Info

KHL

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: G-Drive Arena (Omsk) 🌤️ ...


	Avangard Omsk		Barys Astana

	1	X	2
	1.38	5.93	7.25	Watch
	1.4	5.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	5.72 ↑ (5.43)	6.63 ↑ (6.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avangard Omsk
68.8%

Draw
16.7%

Barys Astana
14.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.4%

17.4%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

17.6%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avangard Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Barys Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Omsk than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Avangard Omsk - Barys Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Avangard will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
54. Serebryakov N. (G)	1. Boyarkin N. (G)
55. Cecconi J.	44. Walsh R.
88. Blazhiyevsky A.	3. McCoshen I.
22. Poturalski A.	22. Panyukov K.
92. Ponomaryov V.	77. Shaikhmeddenov A.
65. Yakupov N. (C)	96. Asetov A.
Line 2
28. Ibragimov M.	71. Daniyar Sam.
66. Chistyakov S.	2. Massie J. (A)
96. Rashevsky D.	88. Vecchione M.
74. Prokhorkin N. (A)	11. Morelli M.
17. Okulov K.	12. Logvin V.
Line 3
26. Voynov V.	24. Breus D.
58. Lajoie M.	87. Beketayev A. (A)
53. Kotlyarevsky M.	10. Willman M.
9. McLeod M.	9. Thompson T.
83. Volkov A.	27. Galimov E.
Line 4
70. Martynov I.	19. Orazov B.
14. Igumnov I. (A)	13. Kaiyrzhan D.
24. Kostin K.	17. Omirbekov A.
	84. Savitsky K. (C)
Substitutes
1. Mishurov A. (G)	43. Shutov A. (G)
Coaches
. Boucher G.	. Kravets M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
04:12, (2 min),
05:16, (2 min),
08:32, Poturalski A. (2 min),
12:34, 0 - 1, Logvin V. (G), Morelli M. (A), Walsh R. (A2)
14:58, Massie J. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:15, Kaiyrzhan D. (2 min),
02:55, 0 - 2, Asetov A. (G),
06:27, 1 - 2, Ponomaryov V. (G), Okulov K. (A),
15:25, 1 - 3, Panyukov K. (G), Asetov A. (A), Shaikhmeddenov A. (A2)
19:07, Poturalski A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
11:38, 2 - 3, Ibragimov M. (G), Rashevsky D. (A), Okulov K. (A2)
16:23, Galimov E. (2 min),
19:37, 2 - 4, Morelli M. (G), Vecchione M. (A), Boyarkin N. (A2)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avangard won 4.

Avangard is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Barys's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Barys has had a series of home games.

In this match, Avangard is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Avangard will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avangard won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 69:43. (average 3.5:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Avangard won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 44:18. (average 4.4:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Barys Astana - the odds 6.27 are the expected chance of winning is 15.12%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avangard Omsk
KHL
28.12.25	Avangard Omsk - Lada Togliatti	4:3 penalties ✺
26.12.25	Avangard Omsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:1 penalties ✺
24.12.25	Avangard Omsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	4:3 OT ✺
20.12.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avangard Omsk	0:3 ✺
18.12.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Avangard Omsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW
- Barys Astana
KHL
27.12.25	Barys Astana - Amur Khabarovsk	1:4 ✺
25.12.25	Barys Astana - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:4 ✺
23.12.25	Barys Astana - Traktor Chelyabinsk	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Barys Astana - Sochi	1:5 ✺
18.12.25	Dynamo Moscow - Barys Astana	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
23.11.25	Barys Astana - Avangard Omsk	2:5
29.10.25	Avangard Omsk - Barys Astana	4:3
16.10.25	Barys Astana - Avangard Omsk	6:2
31.01.25	Avangard Omsk - Barys Astana	5:1
24.11.24	Barys Astana - Avangard Omsk	2:3 OT
10.10.24	Barys Astana - Avangard Omsk	1:0
05.10.24	Avangard Omsk - Barys Astana	4:0

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