Match Info

KHL

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sibir Arena (Novosibirsk)


	Sibir Novosibirsk		Salavat Yulaev Ufa

	1	X	2
	3.59	3.75	1.9
	3.55	3.7	1.88
	3.17	4.17	2.03	Watch
	3.15	3.95	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.76)	3.89 ↓ (4.29)	1.94 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sibir Novosibirsk
27.8%

Draw
24%

Salavat Yulaev Ufa
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

22.6%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

22%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sibir Novosibirsk's form might have worsened.

Salavat Yulaev Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salavat Yulaev Ufa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sibir Novosibirsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salavat Yulaev Ufa than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sibir Novosibirsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sibir will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Salavat Yulaev will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Salavat Yulaev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Krasotkin A. (G)	35. Vyazovoy S. (G)
44. Dietz D. (A)	4. Alexeyev A.
6. Smirnov N.	52. Zorkin N.
96. Korshkov Y.	21. Rodewald J.
12. Nekolenko A. (A)	56. Rempal S.
11. Koshelev S.	57. Brosseau D.
Line 2
74. Orlov M.	18. Stewart D.
21. Alanov Y. (C)	73. Tsulygin Y.
95. Yaremchuk A.	61. Alalykin D.
34. Popov S.	72. Suchkov Y.
13. Nikulin S.	87. Shipachyov V. (A)
Line 3
47. Mishchenko I.	43. Kulik Y.
38. Baklashev N.	89. Shcherbakov N.
28. Pershakov A.	37. Zagrebin M.
18. Tyutnev P.	81. Maggio M.
15. Kosolapov A.	97. Zharovskiy A.
Line 4
4. Volkov D.	11. Panin G. (C)
31. Mirzabalayev A.	32. Varlov S.
24. Sushko M.	65. Yefremov V. (A)
8. Lazutin D.	71. Kuznetsov M.
	78. Orlovich-Grudkov D.
Substitutes
1. Berdin M. (G)	33. Bogdanov N. (G)
86. Lyuzenkov I.
Coaches
. Lyuzenkov Y.	. Kozlov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
02:07, Mirzabalayev A. (2 min),
10:28, Suchkov Y. (2 min),
14:10, 1 - 0, Tyutnev P. (G), Pershakov A. (A), Kosolapov A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:29, 2 - 0, Dietz D. (G),
01:00, 2 - 1, Stewart D. (G), Tsulygin Y. (A), Suchkov Y. (A2)
02:45, Alanov Y. (2 min),
17:56, Stewart D. (2 min),
18:28, 3 - 1, Nekolenko A. (G), Dietz D. (A), Kosolapov A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
05:22, 3 - 2, Orlovich-Grudkov D. (G), Yefremov V. (A), Kuznetsov M. (A2)
11:28, Nekolenko A. (2 min),
13:15, 3 - 3, Brosseau D. (G), Alexeyev A. (A), Rempal S. (A2)
13:50, Tyutnev P. (2 min),
15:26, 3 - 4, Rempal S. (G), Shipachyov V. (A), Alexeyev A. (A2)
17:44, 4 - 4, Nikulin S. (G), Yaremchuk A. (A), Popov S. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
04:20, 4 - 5, Alalykin D. (G),
04:20, Dietz D. (5 min),

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 11th and 5th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sibir won 2.

Sibir is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Salavat Yulaev has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Salavat Yulaev has had a run of games away from home.

Salavat Yulaev is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sibir has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:62 (averaging 2.1:3.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sibir against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 21:23 goals (averaging 2.3:2.6 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Salavat Ufa: 3.03%

Last Results with these Odds

Sibir Novosibirsk - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 35.17%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Salavat Yulaev Ufa - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 42.2%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
04.10.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:2 ✺
02.10.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:4 ✺
30.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:1 ✺
27.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Ak Bars Kazan	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLL
- Salavat Yulaev Ufa
KHL
05.10.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	3:1 ✺
02.10.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:4 ✺
30.09.26	Sochi - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	6:3 ✺
28.09.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	0:3 ✺
26.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
02.10.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:4
24.02.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:2 OT
23.10.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	2:5
01.10.25	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	5:2
24.09.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	3:2 penalties
08.04.25	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:1
06.04.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	5:2

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