Match Info

KHL

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Neftekhimik Arena (Nizhnekamsk)


	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk		Sibir Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.68	3.53
	1.91	3.6	3.45
	1.96	4.32	3.27	Watch
	1.96	4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.27)	3.9 ↓ (4.26)	3.34 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
48.1%

Draw
23.9%

Sibir Novosibirsk
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

22.8%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

21.7%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk's performance.

Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sibir Novosibirsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sibir Novosibirsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Neftekhimik will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftekhimik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
53. Dolganov F. (G)	1. Berdin M. (G)
55. Pastukhov I.	6. Smirnov N.
24. Serikov A.	44. Dietz D. (A)
88. Zhafyarov D.	11. Koshelev S.
71. Belozyorov A. (C)	12. Nekolenko A. (A)
11. Nikolishin I.	96. Korshkov Y.
Line 2
65. Fedotov M.	21. Alanov Y. (C)
57. Ruchkin S.	74. Orlov M.
97. Tyanulin A.	13. Nikulin S.
52. Mityakin Y. (A)	34. Popov S.
10. Bikmullin R.	95. Yaremchuk A.
Line 3
22. Kol T.	38. Baklashev N.
7. Khlystov N. (A)	47. Mishchenko I.
84. Artemyev S.	15. Kosolapov A.
23. Petunin A.	18. Tyutnev P.
17. Nadvorny M.	31. Mirzabalayev A.
Line 4
27. Lovell T.	4. Volkov D.
87. Sokolov S.	24. Sushko M.
44. Andreichenko V.	28. Pershakov A.
21. Seleznyov G.	86. Lyuzenkov I.
Substitutes
31. Ozolin Y. (G)	33. Krasotkin A. (G)
	88. Vorobyov I.
Coaches
. Grishin I.	. Lyuzenkov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
12:12, Sushko M. (2 min),
16:52, 1 - 0, Bikmullin R. (G), Mityakin Y. (A), Fedotov M. (A2)
19:12, 1 - 1, Sushko M. (G), Lyuzenkov I. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
00:20, Pastukhov I. (2 min),
10:15, 1 - 2, Korshkov Y. (G), Nekolenko A. (A), Koshelev S. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
02:53, 2 - 2, Zhafyarov D. (G), Belozyorov A. (A),
05:01, Andreichenko V. (2 min),
13:25, 3 - 2, Andreichenko V. (G), Seleznyov G. (A),
13:25, (2 min),

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Neftekhimik is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Neftekhimik in today's match, at odds of 2.12.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Neftekhimik has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:45 (averaging 2:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Neftekhimik against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 15:12 goals (averaging 1.9:1.5 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Niznekamsk: 1.24%

Last Results with these Odds

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 42.72%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Sibir Novosibirsk - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 34.51%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
KHL
02.10.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Barys Astana	4:5 OT ✺
29.09.26	Amur Khabarovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:5 ✺
26.09.26	Barys Astana - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:6 ✺
23.09.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Lada Togliatti	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWWW
- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
02.10.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:4 ✺
30.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:1 ✺
27.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Ak Bars Kazan	2:3 penalties ✺
20.09.26	Sochi - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
16.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	6:3
KHL
22.02.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:0
04.02.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:5
17.01.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:3
12.10.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:3 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:1 penalties

Upcoming Matches