Match Info

KHL

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Sibir Arena (Novosibirsk)


	Sibir Novosibirsk		Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

	1	X	2
	4.07	3.87	1.76
	4	3.8	1.74
	4.54	4.43	1.66	Watch
	4.1	4.2	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↓ (4.61)	4.08 ↓ (4.51)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sibir Novosibirsk
22.4%

Draw
23%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

21.5%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

21.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sibir Novosibirsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Sibir Novosibirsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sibir will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sibir (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Krasotkin A. (G)	92. Isayev D. (G)
44. Dietz D. (A)	87. Rafikov R. (A)
6. Smirnov N.	99. Sergeyev A.
96. Korshkov Y.	47. Radulov A. (A)
85. Beck T.	70. Surin Y.
12. Nekolenko A. (A)	78. Shalunov M.
Line 2
74. Orlov M.	4. Yelesin A. (C)
21. Alanov Y. (C)	5. Bereglazov A.
97. Abramov M.	10. Ivanov G.
15. Kosolapov A.	13. Fiore G.
11. Koshelev S.	17. Kotkov M.
Line 3
91. Valitov D.	73. Cherepanov N.
47. Mishchenko I.	93. Misyul D.
95. Yaremchuk A.	9. Nikolayev I.
34. Popov S.	90. Polunin A.
13. Nikulin S.	91. Alexeyev D.
Line 4
4. Volkov D.	77. Falkovsky S.
88. Vorobyov I.	7. Kiryanov N.
31. Mirzabalayev A.	27. Kuzin A.
28. Pershakov A.	41. Pustovoy A.
Substitutes
1. Berdin M. (G)	38. Melnichuk A. (G)
18. Tyutnev P.	89. Tesanov D.
Coaches
. Lyuzenkov Y.	. Kvartalnov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
12:10, 0 - 1, Fiore G. (G), Kotkov M. (A), Ivanov G. (A2)
14:58, Abramov M. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
01:57, Mishchenko I. (2 min),
13:07, Cherepanov N. (2 min),
16:48, Pustovoy A. (2 min),
18:46, Abramov M. (2 min),
19:19, 1 - 1, Yaremchuk A. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:49, 1 - 2, Kiryanov N. (G), Yelesin A. (A), Bereglazov A. (A2)
09:42, Bereglazov A. (2 min),
13:01, Polunin A. (2 min),

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 10th and 1st in the Promotion ~ KHL Playoffs1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sibir won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Sibir (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lokomotiv has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sibir could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Lokomotiv is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sibir has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:52 (averaging 1.6:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sibir against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 18:23 goals (averaging 1.8:2.3 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 24.42%

Last Results with these Odds

Sibir Novosibirsk - the odds 4.61 are the expected chance of winning is 21.05%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 57.43%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
24.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Ak Bars Kazan	2:3 penalties ✺
20.09.26	Sochi - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:5 ✺
18.09.26	Dinamo Minsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:1 ✺
16.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
25.09.26	Amur Khabarovsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	3:1 ✺
23.09.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Barys Astana	0:5 ✺
18.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avangard Omsk	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sibir Novosibirsk	5:2
KHL
08.01.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 OT
24.11.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
21.08.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:4
KHL
22.02.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:1 OT
17.01.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
21.08.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:0

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