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Current Win Probability
Sibir Novosibirsk 51.1%
Draw 22.8%
Vityaz Balashikha 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.4%
23%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.2%
22%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sibir Novosibirsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Vityaz Balashikha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vityaz Balashikha than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Sibir Novosibirsk - Vityaz Balashikha Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
72. Kostin D. (G)
83. Dorozhko M. (G)
21. Alanov Y.
79. Roy J. (A)
8. Murphy T.
9. Valentsov V.
51. Leipsic B.
28. Chivilyov A.
19. Andreoff A.
40. Kalinin S. (C)
85. Beck T. (A)
13. Yarovoy S.
Line 2
55. Martynov Y.
16. Vashchenko G.
7. Morozov I.
7. Busygin Y.
77. Kara V.
41. Daryin A.
92. Rasskazov K.
26. Barach D.
71. Butuzov V.
72. Buchelnikov D.
Line 3
73. Zhukov A.
2. Golovkov I.
5. Rukavishnikov R.
57. Rykov Y. (A)
17. Gogolev P.
21. Savchik I.
45. Pyanov V. (A)
87. Tsitsyura V.
18. Belousov G.
86. Vorobyov I.
Line 4
43. Lukin A.
19. Malorosiyanov D.
52. Shirokov S. (C)
74. Makeyev A.
32. Berlyov A.
11. Ilyichyov M.
61. Yakovlev A.
8. Zaseda M.
Substitutes
33. Krasotkin A. (G)
31. Kareyev A. (G)
12. Pershakov A.
27. Yezhov I.
Coaches
. Yepanchintsev V.
. Desyatkov P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
03:24, 0 - 1, Busygin Y. (G), Kalinin S. (A), Chivilyov A. (A2)
10:56, 0 - 2, Zaseda M. (G), Makeyev A. (A),
16:08, 1 - 2, Belousov G. (G),
18:53, Daryin A. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:42, Murphy T. (2 min),
13:26, 1 - 3, Buchelnikov D. (G), Daryin A. (A), Barach D. (A2)
16:22, Busygin Y. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:37, 2 - 3, Martynov Y. (G), Butuzov V. (A), Leipsic B. (A2)
05:04, Beck T. (2 min),
11:29, Belousov G. (2 min),
15:19, 3 - 3, Martynov Y. (G), Gogolev P. (A), Belousov G. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Shirokov S. (Penalty Shot),
1, Makeyev A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Beck T. (Penalty Shot),
2, Yarovoy S. (Penalty Shot),
3, Rasskazov K. (Penalty Shot),
3, Buchelnikov D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Belousov G. (Penalty Shot),
4, Tsitsyura V. (Penalty Shot),
5, Leipsic B. (Penalty Shot),
5, Zaseda M. (Penalty Shot),
6, Yarovoy S. (Penalty Shot),
6, Shirokov S. (Penalty Shot),
7, Chivilyov A. (Penalty Shot),
7, Beck T. (Penalty Shot),
8, Makeyev A. (Penalty Shot),
8, Beck T. (Penalty Shot),
9, Chivilyov A. (Penalty Shot),
9, Beck T. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sibir won 5.
Sibir has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Vityaz is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sibir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Sibir will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Sibir: Gordeev F.
(Injury)
There will not play in Vityaz: Chekhovich I.
(Injury)
Galuzin V.
(Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Sibir won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 63:48 (average 3.2:2.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Sibir won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 36:24 (average 3.3:2.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Vityaz Balashikha - the odds 3.63 are the expected chance of winning is 26.63%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Kostin D. (G) 
Alanov Y. 
Roy J. (A) 
Barach D. 
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