Match Info

KHL

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday

Location: Megasport Arena (Moscow)


	Spartak Moscow		Sibir Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	1.48	5.2	5.5
	1.48	5.4	5.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.63)	5.3 ↑ (4.59)	5.71 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Moscow
65%

Draw
18.1%

Sibir Novosibirsk
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

21.1%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

20.6%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Moscow's performance.

Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Spartak Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Spartak will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Sibir will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sibir: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sibir Novosibirsk will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
50. Zagidulin A. (G)	33. Krasotkin A. (G)
4. Keane J.	4. Farrance D.
94. Mironov A. (C)	74. Orlov M. (A)
28. Pashin A.	20. Wilson S.
21. Ruzicka A.	55. Tkachyov V. (C)
29. Todd N.	51. Leshchenko V.
Line 2
48. Jaros C.	21. Alanov Y.
62. Orlov D.	73. Zhukov A.
98. Belyayev A.	82. Chekhovich I.
13. Maltsev M.	12. Nekolenko A.
35. Korostelev N.	72. Bulavchuk O.
Line 3
55. Vishnevsky D. (A)	54. Churkin A.
79. Yefremov N.	44. Lukin A.
6. Ryabov I.	28. Pershakov A.
20. Lockhart L. (A)	26. Klimovich I.
76. Lukyantsev S.	86. Lyuzenkov I.
Line 4
53. Tyurin N.	76. Akhiyarov T.
99. Filin Y.	11. Koshelev S.
47. Usmanov D.	61. Yakovlev A. (A)
16. Pivchulin D.	88. Kara V.
Substitutes
97. Kholodilin N.	23. Klimovich Y.
70. Nikolayev D. (G)	30. Kokaulin S. (G)
Coaches
. Zhamnov A.	. Bucaev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
03:22, Todd N. (2 min),
07:28, Lukyantsev S. (2 min),
09:04, 0 - 1, Leshchenko V. (G), Kara V. (A), Farrance D. (A2)
12:54, 1 - 1, Todd N. (G), Jaros C. (A), Pashin A. (A2)
14:26, Tkachyov V. (2 min),
18:24, Mironov A. (2 min),
2nd Period (4 - 2)
05:46, 2 - 1, Maltsev M. (G), Belyayev A. (A), Mironov A. (A2)
08:03, 2 - 2, Wilson S. (G),
09:11, 2 - 3, Kara V. (G), Yakovlev A. (A), Alanov Y. (A2)
09:11, Zagidulin A. ↓, Nikolayev D. ↑,
11:19, 3 - 3, Filin Y. (G), Pivchulin D. (A), Keane J. (A2)
11:40, 4 - 3, Maltsev M. (G), Belyayev A. (A), Korostelev N. (A2)
11:40, Krasotkin A. ↓, Kokaulin S. ↑,
19:10, 5 - 3, Filin Y. (G), Orlov D. (A), Pivchulin D. (A2)
19:37, Maltsev M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:45, Akhiyarov T. (2 min),
09:55, Keane J. (2 min),
19:51, 6 - 3, Korostelev N. (G), Maltsev M. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak won 2.

Spartak has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sibir is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Spartak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sibir has had a series of away games.

In this match, Spartak is considered a favorite.

We predict that Spartak will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 52:40. (average 2.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 3.1:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Spartak Moscow - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 59.48%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Spartak Moscow
KHL
06.11.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Spartak Moscow	5:2 ✺
04.11.25	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	0:1 OT ✺
02.11.25	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	5:2 ✺
28.10.25	Spartak Moscow - HC CSKA Moscow	3:2 ✺
26.10.25	Spartak Moscow - Sochi	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
08.11.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:0 ✺
04.11.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	3:4 penalties ✺
02.11.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:3 ✺
31.10.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Sibir Novosibirsk	7:1 ✺
29.10.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
20.02.25	Spartak Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	6:2
21.09.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Spartak Moscow	3:1
26.10.23	Sibir Novosibirsk - Spartak Moscow	4:3
04.10.23	Spartak Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	5:2
25.10.22	Sibir Novosibirsk - Spartak Moscow	4:3
04.09.22	Spartak Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:0
05.01.22	Sibir Novosibirsk - Spartak Moscow	1:2 penalties

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