Match Info

SHL - Round 2

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Skellefteå Kraft Arena (Skellefteå)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Skellefteå		Luleå

	1	X	2
	1.39	6.00	6.00
	1.75	4.40	3.75
	1.73	4.40	4.00	Watch
	1.78	4.09	3.76
	1.65	4.78	4.05	Watch
	1.76	4.00	3.70
	1.74	4.45	3.80	Watch
	1.75	4.20	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.81)	4.54 ↑ (4.12)	4.1 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skellefteå
56%

Draw
20.9%

Luleå
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

22.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

24.5%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skellefteå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Luleå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skellefteå than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Skellefteå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Skellefteå - Luleå Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Skellefteå will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
38. Mann S. (G)	31. Ward M. (G)
25. Johansson P.	27. Laaksonen O. (A)
52. Lundberg A.	82. Leskinen O.
14. Johnson A.	51. Nurmi M.
9. Stjernborg V.	45. Koppanen J.
72. Vuollet O.	76. Levtchi A.
Line 2
64. Pudas J. (C)	26. Sjostrom O.
4. Bergqvist R.	23. Sellgren J. (C)
29. Aagaard M.	48. Puustinen V.
24. Lindberg O. (A)	91. O'Neill B. (A)
96. Hugg R. (A)	6. Hedqvist I.
Line 3
7. Haara F.	39. Sjalin P. (A)
3. Grahn V.	32. Engsund O.
28. Kaderli A.	25. Eriksson F.
33. Forsfjall Z.	96. Andreasson P.
22. Johnson J.	86. Brome M.
Line 4
6. Forsfjall M.	5. Westin H.
20. Fasching H.	72. Tardif B.
17. Lindholm P. (A)	15. Granberg D.
12. Lindberg V.	17. Brannstrom I.
Substitutes
31. Lampinen J. (G)	34. Lassinantti J. (G)
73. Nordlund V.	21. Lovgren D.
1. Ringquist A. (G)
Coaches
. Hermansson D.	. Hall D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
04:40, Lindberg O. (2 min),
04:40, Laaksonen O. (2 min),
07:02, Kaderli A. (2 min),
11:29, Sjalin P. (2 min),
12:00, 1 - 0, Pudas J. (G), Johnson J. (A), Hugg R. (A2)
14:34, 2 - 0, Aagaard M. (G), Hugg R. (A), Lindberg O. (A2)
15:16, Nurmi M. (2 min),
19:30, 3 - 0, Lindholm P. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:43, 3 - 1, Puustinen V. (G), Hedqvist I. (A), O'Neill B. (A2)
17:57, Forsfjall M. (2 min),
18:43, 4 - 1, Johansson P. (G), Lindholm P. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:43, Andreasson P. (2 min),
03:49, 5 - 1, Fasching H. (G), Johansson P. (A), Johnson A. (A2)
05:55, 6 - 1, Aagaard M. (G), Lindberg O. (A), Grahn V. (A2)
05:55, Ward M. ↓, Lassinantti J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skellefteå won 4.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Skellefteå carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Skellefteå in today's match, at odds of 1.75.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Skellefteå has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:32 (averaging 2.8:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Skellefteå against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 35:18 goals (averaging 3.2:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Skelleftea	7	3	1	1	2	25:19	12
9	Lulea	8	3	0	1	4	20:26	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skellefteå AIK
SHL
26.09.26	Örebro - Skellefteå	3:0 ✺
24.09.26	HV71 - Skellefteå	4:3 OT ✺
19.09.26	Skellefteå - Brynäs	7:2 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
12.09.26	Skellefteå - Davos	6:2 ✺
10.09.26	Skellefteå - Genève-Servette	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWW
- Luleå HF
SHL
26.09.26	Brynäs - Luleå	4:2 ✺
24.09.26	Luleå - Frölunda	3:7 ✺
19.09.26	Luleå - Rögle	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
10.09.26	Brynäs - Luleå	3:4 ✺
08.09.26	Timrå - Luleå	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.26	Luleå - Skellefteå	0:4
SHL
15.04.26	Skellefteå - Luleå	2:1
13.04.26	Luleå - Skellefteå	3:2
11.04.26	Luleå - Skellefteå	1:3
09.04.26	Skellefteå - Luleå	5:0
07.04.26	Skellefteå - Luleå	4:3 OT
28.02.26	Luleå - Skellefteå	0:1 penalties

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