Match Info

Extraleague

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Slavutych Smolensk		Baranovichy

	1	X	2
	1.31	5.75	6.49
	1.32	5.55	6.53	Watch
	1.37	6.4	5.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)	5.9 ↓ (6.4)	6.08 ↑ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slavutych Smolensk
69.2%

Draw
15.6%

Baranovichy
15.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.8%

14.5%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

13.1%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slavutych Smolensk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Baranovichy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slavutych Smolensk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baranovichy than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Slavutych Smolensk - Baranovichy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Gorbachev N. (G)	30. Chayka T. (G)
9. Antonovsky I.	24. Kozich A.
22. Ozerov M.	22. Yaruta K.
16. Noskov D.	89. Kazyanin I.
10. Savchenko N.	73. Krylovich I.
91. Kurdin I.	81. Khanas S.
Line 2
12. Kvon G.	23. Vorono P.
15. Melnikov M.	15. Tatarenko K.
55. Yegorov A.	18. Crane T.
51. Kurkov D.	26. Loy D.
88. Polkin M.	10. Gapeyev D.
Line 3
86. Kopylov S.	27. Sirotin N.
79. Arbuzov V.	46. Isaev A.
71. Melnikov D.	96. Gavrus A.
17. Gorfinyak E.	33. Yaruta M.
66. Didkovsky A.	77. Astashevich A.
Line 4
95. Antonov D.	45. Usovich Y.
99. Gusev A.	97. Kukharev A.
83. Avramenko N.	13. Ostrovsky O.
47. Filippov V.	44. Korobov Y.
85. Avramenko M.
Substitutes
20. Kibo V. (G)	92. Lushchik I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:56, 0 - 1, Tatarenko K. (G),
06:33, 1 - 1, Avramenko N. (G), Filippov V. (A), Antonov D. (A2)
10:59, 2 - 1, Ozerov M. (G), Kurkov D. (A), Polkin M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:17, 3 - 1, Avramenko N. (G), Filippov V. (A), Avramenko M. (A2)
15:07, 3 - 2, Kukharev A. (G), Krylovich I. (A),

Preview

Recent performances by Slavutych have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Baranovichy has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Baranovichy has had a series of home games.

In this match, Slavutych is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Slavutych will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slavutych won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:12. (average 4.8:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Slavutych won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 5.7:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slavutych Smolensk
Belarusian Extraleague
23.09.25	Slavutych Smolensk - Baranovichy	8:4 ✺
20.09.25	Mogilev - Slavutych Smolensk	2:5 ✺
18.09.25	Mogilev - Slavutych Smolensk	2:4 ✺
13.09.25	Slavutych Smolensk - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	2:3 penalties ✺
11.09.25	Slavutych Smolensk - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL
- HK Baranavichy
Belarusian Extraleague
23.09.25	Slavutych Smolensk - Baranovichy	8:4 ✺
20.09.25	Baranovichy - Lida	1:3 ✺
18.09.25	Baranovichy - Lida	3:6 ✺
14.09.25	Baranovichy - Yunost Minsk	0:3 ✺
12.09.25	Baranovichy - Yunost Minsk	0:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
23.09.25	Slavutych Smolensk - Baranovichy	8:4
02.12.24	Baranovichy - Slavutych Smolensk	3:2
30.11.24	Baranovichy - Slavutych Smolensk	1:5
10.09.24	Slavutych Smolensk - Baranovichy	4:3 penalties
08.09.24	Slavutych Smolensk - Baranovichy	5:1

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