Match Info

KHL

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Bolshoy Ice Dome (Sochi)


	Sochi		HC CSKA Moscow

	1	X	2
	4.70	4.03	1.64
	4.65	3.95	1.62
	5.26	5.06	1.52	Watch
	4.60	4.50	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↓ (4.86)	4.39 ↓ (4.84)	1.59 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
19.5%

Draw
21.4%

HC CSKA Moscow
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

19.5%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

19.9%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

HC CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Sochi - HC CSKA Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 1 - 25%). CSKA will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Andreyanov P. (G)	31. Samonov A. (G)
88. Nikolayev I.	9. Zamula Y.
64. Graham J.	89. Nesterov N. (A)
93. Khokhlachev A.	13. Poltapov P.
77. Guskov M.	15. Karnaukhov P. (C)
10. Vengryzhanovsky D.	98. Mamin M.
Line 2
76. Akhiyarov T.	5. Samorukov D.
74. Baldayev V. (A)	55. Okhotyuk N.
87. Khafizov T. (C)	34. Gurianov D.
14. Polyakov N.	51. Kovalenko N.
9. Kagarlitsky D. (A)	72. Buchelnikov D.
Line 3
62. Solyannikov G.	22. Hamilton R.
57. Guryev A.	65. Cotton A.
86. Kara V.	26. Barach D.
72. Quinney G.	27. Sorkin M. (A)
15. Petukhov Y.	61. Khairullin M.
Line 4
13. Belyakov Y.	28. Patrikhayev I.
41. Voronin K.	16. Zernov D.
29. Slepets K.	19. Drozdov I.
18. Gizdatullin A.	69. Maistrenko O.
Substitutes
60. Bocharov I. (G)	33. Gamzin D. (G)
82. Drozdov V.	95. Privalov N.
Coaches
. Mironov A.	. Nikitin I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
02:37, Voronin K. (2 min),
10:36, Guryev A. (2 min),
10:36, Mamin M. (2 min),
13:45, 0 - 1, Sorkin M. (G), Zamula Y. (A), Nesterov N. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
06:09, Privalov N. (2 min),
14:25, Khafizov T. (2 min),
16:04, Poltapov P. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
00:28, Graham J. (5 min),
02:46, 0 - 2, Sorkin M. (G), Zamula Y. (A), Khairullin M. (A2)
08:31, 0 - 3, Poltapov P. (G), Karnaukhov P. (A),
11:14, Guryev A. (2 min),
15:21, 0 - 4, Zernov D. (G), Zamula Y. (A),
18:54, Guryev A. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 2.

Sochi has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

CSKA's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

CSKA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sochi has had a series of away games.

Recently, CSKA has had a series of home games.

In this match, CSKA is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 27:57. (average 1.4:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:32. (average 1.2:2.9).

Outrights of KHL for now

CSKA Moscow: 11.6% Sochi: 0.28%

Last Results with these Odds

Sochi - the odds 4.86 are the expected chance of winning is 19.41%, but this team recently wins 7% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sochi
KHL
12.09.26	Sochi - SKA Saint Petersburg	0:1 ✺
10.09.26	Avangard Omsk - Sochi	4:1 ✺
08.09.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sochi	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
17.08.26	Shanghai Dragons - Sochi	4:2 ✺
16.08.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Sochi	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- HC CSKA Moscow
KHL
13.09.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 ✺
11.09.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Admiral Vladivostok	2:4 ✺
09.09.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	3:0 ✺
07.09.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Spartak Moscow	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
30.08.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
11.03.26	Sochi - HC CSKA Moscow	1:2
10.03.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Sochi	2:1
03.02.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Sochi	3:1
12.09.25	Sochi - HC CSKA Moscow	2:0
17.02.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Sochi	1:4
13.02.25	Sochi - HC CSKA Moscow	2:0
29.12.24	Sochi - HC CSKA Moscow	1:4

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