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Sochi vs SKA Saint Petersburg Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, December 28, 2025)

Match Info

KHL

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Bolshoy Ice Dome (Sochi)


	Sochi		SKA Saint Petersburg

	1	X	2
	5.13	4.82	1.59	Watch
	4.4	4.75	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (3.92)	4.79 ↑ (4.25)	1.6 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
20.1%

Draw
20%

SKA Saint Petersburg
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

22.3%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

22.3%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

SKA Saint Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SKA Saint Petersburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SKA Saint Petersburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). SKA will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Period - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 3rd Period - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sochi will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Khomchenko P. (G)	73. Pleshkov A. (G)
23. Machulin V.	18. Phillips M.
11. Volkov A. (A)	9. Sapego S.
34. Popov S.	61. Khairullin M. (A)
87. Khafizov T.	42. Vorobyov M.
9. Vengryzhanovsky D.	90. Zykov V. (A)
Line 2
22. Hoefenmayer N.	34. Savikov Y.
88. Nikolayev I.	27. Menell B.
78. Polyakov N.	23. Grimaldi R.
77. Guskov M.	10. Blandisi J.
24. Bikmullin R.	81. Leipsic B.
Line 3
51. Sushko I.	47. Zelenov Y.
12. Lee C.	79. Galenyuk D.
41. Bitten W.	87. Goldobin N.
61. Beaudin J.	68. Nedopyokin N.
71. Ellis M.	16. Plotnikov S. (C)
Line 4
5. Sapozhnikov A.	84. Vydrenkov I.
19. Avershin D.	41. Polyakov M.
25. Dedunov P. (C)	38. Gurzanov Y.
15. Utkin D.	91. Lutfullin I.
Substitutes
72. Maximov R.	30. Zavragin Y. (G)
44. Shchetilin A. (G)
Coaches
. Mikhailov D.	. Larionov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 3)
03:33, 0 - 1, Leipsic B. (G), Blandisi J. (A), Grimaldi R. (A2)
07:50, 1 - 1, Popov S. (G), Khafizov T. (A),
08:06, 2 - 1, Guskov M. (G), Bikmullin R. (A),
09:46, 2 - 2, Plotnikov S. (G), Goldobin N. (A),
17:58, 2 - 3, Polyakov M. (G), Lutfullin I. (A), Gurzanov Y. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
00:39, Vorobyov M. (2 min),
05:57, 3 - 3, Popov S. (G), Hoefenmayer N. (A), Nikolayev I. (A2)
06:25, Galenyuk D. (2 min),
06:34, 4 - 3, Bikmullin R. (G), Khafizov T. (A), Guskov M. (A2)
06:34, Pleshkov A. ↓, Zavragin Y. ↑,
09:15, 4 - 4, Polyakov M. (G),
10:46, 5 - 4, Maximov R. (G), Dedunov P. (A), Volkov A. (A2)
17:16, Beaudin J. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
02:14, 6 - 4, Vengryzhanovsky D. (G), Hoefenmayer N. (A), Popov S. (A2)
03:06, (2 min),
16:57, 7 - 4, Ellis M. (G), Nikolayev I. (A), Khomchenko P. (A2)
19:22, 8 - 4, Polyakov N. (G), Guskov M. (A), Machulin V. (A2)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 1.

Sochi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, SKA has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

SKA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sochi has had a series of away games.

Recently, SKA has had a series of home games.

In this match, SKA is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 52:95. (average 2.6:4.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:47. (average 3.4:4.7).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sochi
KHL
25.12.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Sochi	4:3 OT ✺
23.12.25	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Sochi	4:1 ✺
21.12.25	Barys Astana - Sochi	1:5 ✺
17.12.25	Sochi - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:6 ✺
04.12.25	Avangard Omsk - Sochi	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWLL
- SKA Saint Petersburg
KHL
26.12.25	Dinamo Minsk - SKA Saint Petersburg	1:4 ✺
20.12.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Spartak Moscow	1:2 ✺
18.12.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Ak Bars Kazan	3:2 ✺
16.12.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Shanghai Dragons	4:1 ✺
07.12.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Amur Khabarovsk	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
24.10.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Sochi	8:1
27.09.25	Sochi - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:4
14.03.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Sochi	2:0
27.12.24	Sochi - SKA Saint Petersburg	4:5
07.11.24	SKA Saint Petersburg - Sochi	2:5
19.09.24	Sochi - SKA Saint Petersburg	4:7
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
23.08.24	SKA Saint Petersburg - Sochi	2:1 penalties

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