The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ak Bars Kazan 38.6%
Draw 24%
SKA Saint Petersburg 37.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.3%
22.6%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
22.6%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
SKA Saint Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
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Ak Bars Kazan - SKA Saint Petersburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 4.
In recent outings, Ak Bars has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
SKA is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ak Bars may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, SKA has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ak Bars has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 64:53 (averaging 3.2:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ak Bars against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 33:22 goals (averaging 3.3:2.2 per game).
Outrights of KHL for now
Bars Kazan: 5.48% SKA St. Petersburg: 3.46%
Last Results with these Odds
Ak Bars Kazan - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 40.26%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
SKA Saint Petersburg - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 37.18%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.