The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ak Bars Kazan 50.4%
Draw 22.6%
SKA Saint Petersburg 26.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.7%
21.4%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
20.5%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
SKA Saint Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
The ML Model estimate for Ak Bars Kazan aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Ak Bars Kazan - SKA Saint Petersburg Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. SKA will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for SKA: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): SKA Saint Petersburg will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
82. Bilyalov T. (G)
1. Ivanov S. (G)
58. Miller M.
34. Savikov Y.
96. Lyamkin N.
8. Murphy T.
23. Jaskin D.
16. Plotnikov S. (A)
94. Semyonov K. (A)
61. Khairullin M. (A)
17. Barabanov A.
90. Zykov V.
Line 2
53. Marchenko A. (C)
27. Menell B.
89. Karpukhin I.
3. Pedan A. (C)
95. Galimov A.
23. Grimaldi R.
24. Safonov I.
10. Blandisi J.
55. Chmelevski A.
81. Leipsic B.
Line 3
65. Luchevnikov K.
18. Phillips M.
7. Falkovsky S.
9. Sapego S.
14. Denisenko G.
91. Lutfullin I.
11. Fisenko M. (A)
69. Larionov I.
72. Alistrov V.
55. Dishkovsky N.
Line 4
15. Brovkin A.
47. Zelenov Y.
92. Katelevsky D.
41. Polyakov M.
86. Dynyak N.
17. Loktionov A.
92. Dube P.
Substitutes
20. Arefyev M. (G)
73. Pleshkov A. (G)
13. Zamaltdinov R.
Coaches
. Gatiyatulin A.
. Larionov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
03:24, 1 - 0, Jaskin D. (G), Karpukhin I. (A), Barabanov A. (A2)
09:45, Pedan A. (2 min),
16:39, Blandisi J. (2 min),
16:39, Jaskin D. (2 min),
19:35, Dube P. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
02:36, 1 - 1, Leipsic B. (G), Phillips M. (A),
03:42, (2 min),
04:22, Semyonov K. (2 min),
04:38, 2 - 1, Safonov I. (G), Galimov A. (A), Falkovsky S. (A2)
07:47, Marchenko A. (2 min),
08:38, Zykov V. (2 min),
15:15, Lutfullin I. (2 min),
17:20, 3 - 1, Galimov A. (G), Karpukhin I. (A), Denisenko G. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
01:10, 4 - 1, Karpukhin I. (G), Galimov A. (A2), Marchenko A. (A2)
10:02, 5 - 1, Dynyak N. (G), Brovkin A. (A), Luchevnikov K. (A2)
10:30, 5 - 2, Leipsic B. (G), Blandisi J. (A),
17:35, Safonov I. (2 min),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 3.
Ak Bars has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
SKA is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
SKA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, SKA has had a series of away games.
Ak Bars is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 58:58. (average 2.9:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Ak Bars won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 2.9:2.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Ak Bars Kazan - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.7%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Bilyalov T. (G) 
Miller M. 
Murphy T. 
Jaskin D. 
Falkovsky S. 
Dube P. 
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