Match Info

KHL

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Bolshoy Ice Dome (Sochi)


	Sochi		Sibir Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	2.66	3.61	2.39
	2.60	3.55	2.35
	2.77	4.41	2.26	Watch
	2.65	4.00	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.58)	3.89 ↓ (4.36)	2.3 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
35.1%

Draw
24.1%

Sibir Novosibirsk
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

21.7%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

21.5%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Sochi - Sibir Novosibirsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sibir will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sibir (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Andreyanov P. (G)	1. Berdin M. (G)
88. Nikolayev I.	6. Smirnov N.
67. Lee C.	44. Dietz D. (A)
93. Khokhlachev A.	13. Nikulin S.
72. Quinney G.	92. Kuznetsov E. (A)
10. Vengryzhanovsky D.	96. Korshkov Y.
Line 2
76. Akhiyarov T.	21. Alanov Y. (C)
74. Baldayev V. (C)	23. Osipov M.
97. Ovchinnikov D.	11. Koshelev S.
77. Guskov M. (A)	15. Kosolapov A.
27. Korostelyov M.	97. Abramov M.
Line 3
57. Guryev A.	47. Mishchenko I.
22. Williams C.	91. Valitov D.
41. Voronin K.	12. Nekolenko A.
29. Slepets K.	24. Sushko M.
18. Gizdatullin A.	34. Popov S.
Line 4
13. Belyakov Y.	38. Baklashev N.
89. Guslistov N.	18. Tyutnev P.
15. Petukhov Y.	28. Pershakov A.
9. Kagarlitsky D. (A)	31. Mirzabalayev A.
Substitutes
60. Bocharov I. (G)	33. Krasotkin A. (G)
Coaches
. Mironov A.	. Lyuzenkov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
12:24, 0 - 1, Mirzabalayev A. (G), Mishchenko I. (A),
14:39, Guryev A. (2 min),
15:16, 0 - 2, Kosolapov A. (G), Dietz D. (A), Nikulin S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:12, 0 - 3, Koshelev S. (G),
04:19, 1 - 3, Vengryzhanovsky D. (G), Khokhlachev A. (A), Quinney G. (A2)
05:18, (2 min),
05:59, 1 - 4, Dietz D. (G), Nikulin S. (A), Kosolapov A. (A2)
12:14, Mishchenko I. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
04:01, 1 - 5, Kosolapov A. (G),
09:20, Ovchinnikov D. (2 min),
11:09, Kuznetsov E. (2 min),
11:09, Kuznetsov E. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 0.

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

Sibir may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sochi has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:63 (averaging 2.1:3.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sochi against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 23:27 goals (averaging 2.1:2.5 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Sochi: 0.28%

Last Results with these Odds

Sochi - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.58%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Sibir Novosibirsk - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.76%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sochi
KHL
18.09.26	Sochi - Ak Bars Kazan	3:2 ✺
16.09.26	Sochi - HC CSKA Moscow	0:4 ✺
12.09.26	Sochi - SKA Saint Petersburg	0:1 ✺
10.09.26	Avangard Omsk - Sochi	4:1 ✺
08.09.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sochi	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLL
- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
18.09.26	Dinamo Minsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:1 ✺
16.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:5 ✺
10.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Amur Khabarovsk	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
15.08.26	Sochi - Sibir Novosibirsk	0:4
KHL
10.02.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Sochi	10:1
22.11.25	Sochi - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2
22.11.24	Sochi - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:4
24.09.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Sochi	4:2
22.11.23	Sibir Novosibirsk - Sochi	5:2
15.09.23	Sochi - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:2

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