Match Info

WCH IIIA

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Ice Station (Cape Town)


	South Africa		Turkmenistan

	1	X	2
	4.05	5.05	1.49
	4.1	4.8	1.47
	4.72	5.96	1.41	Watch
	8	5.75	1.2
	5.24	5.8	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.22 ↑ (3.96)	5.47 ↑ (5.25)	1.39 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Africa
17.5%

Draw
16.7%

Turkmenistan
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

17.1%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Africa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Africa's form might have worsened.

Turkmenistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Turkmenistan's recent form is better than expected.

South Africa - Turkmenistan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:6

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
00:37, 1 - 0, Carelse L. (G), Samaai U. (A), van Doesburgh J. (A2)
11:51, 2 - 0, Bate J. (G), Obery A. (A),
13:37, 3 - 0, van der Merwe D. (G), Kluyts Paulus (A), Bremner G. (A2)
17:09, 3 - 1, Bayjayev D. (G), Aganiyazov A. (A), Annasaparov M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
16:06, 3 - 2, Bayjayev D. (G), Vahovskiy A. (A), Annasaparov M. (A2)
17:01, 3 - 3, Bayhanov N. (G), Vahitov S. (A), Baymyradov B. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
18:55, 4 - 3, Samaai U. (G), Verwey D. (A),
19:45, 5 - 3, Samaai U. (G), Bate J. (A),

Preview

In this match, Turkmenistan is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 3.3:5.7).

Standings

2025

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Turkmenistan	5	3	1	0	1	20:18	11
4	South Africa	5	1	0	1	3	12:24	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Africa hockey
IIHF World Championship IIIA
16.04.26	Turkey - South Africa	8:1 ✺
14.04.26	Thailand - South Africa	7:3 ✺
13.04.26	Mexico - South Africa	5:4 OT ✺
27.04.25	Turkmenistan - South Africa	6:5 OT ✺
25.04.25	South Africa - Luxembourg	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Turkmenistan hockey
IIHF World Championship IIIA
16.04.26	Turkmenistan - Mexico	4:5 ✺
14.04.26	Turkmenistan - Turkey	4:6 ✺
13.04.26	Turkmenistan - Bosnia and Herzegovina	3:4 ✺
27.04.25	Turkmenistan - South Africa	6:5 OT ✺
25.04.25	Turkmenistan - Kyrgyzstan	1:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship IIIA
27.04.25	Turkmenistan - South Africa	6:5 OT
11.03.24	Turkmenistan - South Africa	4:3
IIHF World Championship III
23.04.19	South Africa - Turkmenistan	2:7

South Africa - Turkmenistan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide