The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartiates de Marseille 52.4%
Draw 21.5%
Amiens 26.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.6%
21.8%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
22.4%
23.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartiates de Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartiates de Marseille than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Spartiates de Marseille - Amiens Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Gourdin F. (G)
37. Gravel A. (G)
41. Cantagallo E.
19. Barriga E.
16. Colotti F. (C)
13. Benoit E.
37. Corvez M.
34. Besson N.
17. Coulaud Y. (A)
94. Craig K. (A)
77. Da Costa T.
2. Detcheverry T.
23. Dair F.
16. Di Dio Balsamo C. (A)
44. Dufek J. (A)
73. Djemel I.
21. Gradin A.
91. Gauffriau V.
8. Ishida R.
92. Girouard N.
38. Ivanov S.
9. Hinam T.
12. Joubert P.
55. Lemaitre B.
13. Larinmaa J.
79. Magee B.
95. Limtong S.
43. Mony M. (A)
27. MacIntyre B.
11. Plagnat A.
98. Nilsson A.
23. Schmitt C.
53. Petersson B.
52. Seitz N.
24. Spinozzi K.
63. Vertanen J.
29. Tavernier E.
3. Voiturier E.
Substitutes
39. Kasik L. (G)
30. Thirion M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
08:28, 1 - 0, Dair F. (G), Joubert P. (A),
10:53, 2 - 0, Spinozzi K. (G), Da Costa T. (A), Tavernier E. (A2)
12:17, 2 - 1, Girouard N. (G), Craig K. (A), Schmitt C. (A2)
19:24, 2 - 2, Seitz N. (G), Craig K. (A), Magee B. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:31, 2 - 3, Craig K. (G), Girouard N. (A), Vertanen J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 3.
In recent outings, Marseille has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Amiens shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Marseille may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Marseille has faced a series of away games on the road.
Marseille carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Marseille has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 45:32 (averaging 3.5:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Marseille against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 19:13 goals (averaging 3.2:2.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Marseille
14
7
2
2
3
46:37
27
8
Amiens
13
4
2
1
6
35:43
17
Last Results with these Odds
Spartiates de Marseille - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 52.58%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.