The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amiens 36.2%
Draw 23.3%
Spartiates de Marseille 40.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.6%
22.7%
42.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
23.7%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Spartiates de Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartiates de Marseille than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Amiens - Spartiates de Marseille Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
37. Gravel A. (G)
39. Kasik L. (G)
19. Barriga E.
74. Bourgeois F.
13. Benoit E.
41. Cantagallo E.
4. Bergeron J. (C)
20. Chapuis M.
34. Besson N.
16. Colotti F. (C)
94. Craig K. (A)
17. Coulaud Y. (A)
2. Da Sylva P.
23. Dair F.
16. Di Dio Balsamo C.
44. Dufek J.
73. Djemel I.
21. Gradin A.
91. Gauffriau V.
8. Ishida R.
92. Girouard N.
38. Ivanov S.
9. Hinam T.
12. Joubert P.
55. Lemaitre B.
13. Larinmaa J.
79. Magee B.
95. Limtong S.
43. Mony M.
27. MacIntyre B.
11. Plagnat A. (A)
53. Petersson B. (A)
23. Schmitt C.
86. Quattrone T.
52. Seitz N.
24. Spinozzi K.
63. Vertanen J.
29. Tavernier E.
Substitutes
30. Thirion M. (G)
33. Gourdin F. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
15:10, 0 - 1, Dair F. (G), Ishida R. (A), Cantagallo E. (A2)
18:11, 1 - 1, Girouard N. (G), Mony M. (A), Magee B. (A2)
18:54, 2 - 1, Barriga E. (G), Seitz N. (A),
19:23, 2 - 2, Limtong S. (G), Dufek J. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
07:02, 2 - 3, Dufek J. (G), Limtong S. (A), Cantagallo E. (A2)
08:09, 2 - 4, Quattrone T. (G), Chapuis M. (A), Petersson B. (A2)
11:58, 3 - 4, Craig K. (G), Schmitt C. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
07:16, 4 - 4, Craig K. (G), Plagnat A. (A), Girouard N. (A2)
12:23, 5 - 4, Schmitt C. (G), Hinam T. (A), Barriga E. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 2.
Amiens has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Marseille is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Marseille may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Amiens has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:41 (averaging 2.3:3.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Amiens against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:22 goals (averaging 2.3:3.7 per game).
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Gravel A. (G) 
Kasik L. (G) 
Barriga E. 
Bourgeois F. 
Gradin A. 
Ishida R. 
Ivanov S. 
Larinmaa J. 
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