Match Info

Tipsport liga - Round 39

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport


	Spišská Nová Ves		Nitra

	1	X	2
	2.75	4.2	2.05
	2.9	4.1	2.04
	3.04	4.21	1.99	Watch
	2.75	4	1.95
	3.07	4.05	1.94
	2.95	3.85	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.77)	4.07 ↓ (4.12)	1.99 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spišská Nová Ves
31.4%

Draw
22.5%

Nitra
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

22.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

22.8%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spišská Nová Ves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Nitra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spišská Nová Ves than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Nitra aligns with the current prediction.

Spišská Nová Ves - Nitra Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Nitra (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nitra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Godla D. (G)	1. Ferguson D. (G)
33. Groch S.	44. Osburn Z.
74. McIsaac J.	24. Mezei B.
8. Savoie C.	67. Paulovic M.
96. Giroux D.	13. Kristof M.
11. Martel D.	12. Passolt J.
Line 2
21. Ziak A.	8. Kostenko D.
4. Alisauskas N.	2. Baca M.
24. Stevuliak P.	91. Jackson R.
9. Hain G.	29. Chrenko T.
91. Dzugan R.	11. Lawrence J.
Line 3
6. Romanak D.	16. Stacha M.
48. Barcik S.	15. Carmichael E.
19. Kralik M.	39. Lacka J.
90. Viedensky M.	27. Cederle S.
10. Stas V.	88. Okolicany D.
Line 4
83. Bellus M.	28. Kalman A.
17. Turansky A.	9. Kovac H.
88. Palocko M.	80. Hrnka T.
63. Vandas M.	81. Csanyi K.
Substitutes
3. Surak F. (G)	31. Gadzhiev S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
00:38, 0 - 1, Kristof M. (G), Paulovic M. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
18:46, 1 - 1, Hain G. (G), Viedensky M. (A), Martel D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
05:28, 1 - 2, Chrenko T. (G), Kostenko D. (A),
09:57, 2 - 2, Ziak A. (G), Stevuliak P. (A), Surak F. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01', 2 - 3, (G),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Tipsport liga (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tipsport liga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spišská Nová Ves won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Nitra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nitra could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spišská Nová Ves won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 45:62. (average 2.3:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Spišská Nová Ves won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 2.3:3.3).

Outrights of Slovak Extraliga for now

Nitra: 14% Spisska Nova Ves: 7.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Spisska Nova Ves	9	5	2	0	2	33:23	19
11	Nitra	9	1	1	1	6	22:33	6

Last Results with these Odds

Spišská Nová Ves - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.01%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Nitra - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Spišská Nová Ves
Slovak Extraliga
11.01.26	Poprad - Spišská Nová Ves	4:1 ✺
05.01.26	Prešov - Spišská Nová Ves	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Spišská Nová Ves - Poprad	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Spišská Nová Ves - HC Košice	2:1 OT ✺
28.12.25	Dukla Michalovce - Spišská Nová Ves	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWL
- HK Nitra
Slovak Extraliga
14.01.26	Nitra - HC Košice	3:2 ✺
09.01.26	Dukla Michalovce - Nitra	3:4 OT ✺
05.01.26	Banská Bystrica - Nitra	5:2 ✺
03.01.26	Nitra - Zvolen	3:5 ✺
30.12.25	Nitra - Slovan Bratislava	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Extraliga
14.11.25	Nitra - Spišská Nová Ves	4:2
28.09.25	Spišská Nová Ves - Nitra	1:2
21.02.25	Spišská Nová Ves - Nitra	3:2 penalties
19.01.25	Nitra - Spišská Nová Ves	1:4
15.11.24	Spišská Nová Ves - Nitra	3:4 OT
06.10.24	Nitra - Spišská Nová Ves	3:4
24.04.24	Nitra - Spišská Nová Ves	2:1 OT

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