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Current Win Probability
Spokane Chiefs 34.4%
Draw 22.2%
Prince George Cougars 43.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
22.2%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
24%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spokane Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Prince George Cougars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spokane Chiefs than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prince George Cougars than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Esler C. (G)
1. Levshyn A. (G)
23. Buckley T.
8. Anisimov A.
12. Burcar G.
3. Cahill P.
17. Gillespie B.
4. Carels C. (A)
26. Harrington C. (A)
2. Dumanski B. (C)
11. Harris C.
16. Foster A.
44. Howell M.
26. Funk K.
91. Hughes E.
11. Gizowski K.
21. Martin O. (A)
24. Hajt C.
5. Mayes N. (A)
14. Kozicky T.
19. McIntyre O.
37. Lajoie J.
18. McIsaac W. (C)
28. Lemire K.
55. Oremba S.
32. Parascak T. (A)
82. Petr D.
19. Riley A.
28. Sarkenov A.
22. Seitz D.
47. Sather R.
23. Shurgot L.
2. Saunderson N.
20. Sobry T.
7. Schoettler O.
9. Souch B.
88. Sparks T.
15. Vaughan C. (A)
86. Wormald L.
18. Yakutsenak D.
Substitutes
35. Vieillard L. (G)
31. Ravensberg J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
08:07, 0 - 1, Souch B. (G), Carels C. (A), Gizowski K. (A2)
13:08, 1 - 1, Oremba S. (G), Gillespie B. (A), Mayes N. (A2)
19:18, 1 - 2, Parascak T. (G), Foster A. (A), Souch B. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:38, 1 - 3, Gizowski K. (G), Carels C. (A), Parascak T. (A2)
09:20, 2 - 3, Martin O. (G), Wormald L. (A), Petr D. (A2)
19:04, 3 - 3, Harrington C. (G), Petr D. (A), McIsaac W. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
12:39, 4 - 3, Harrington C. (G), Sarkenov A. (A),
Preview
Prince George Cougars leads series 3-1. Fourth leg.
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Prince George won 4.
Prince George is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Spokane is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that Prince George will win today's game, with odds of 2.4.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Prince George won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 79:55. (average 4:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Prince George won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 47:29. (average 4.7:2.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Spokane Chiefs - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.88%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.
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Esler C. (G) 
Levshyn A. (G) 
Anisimov A. 
Burcar G. 
Petr D. 
Sarkenov A. 
Vieillard L. (G) 
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