Match Info

MHL

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Sputnik Almetyevsk		AKM Novomoskovsk

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.3	3.41	Watch
	1.76	4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.12)	4.15 ↓ (4.6)	3.41 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sputnik Almetyevsk
51.2%

Draw
22%

AKM Novomoskovsk
26.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44%

20.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

21.4%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sputnik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sputnik Almetyevsk's performance.

AKM Novomoskovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AKM Novomoskovsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sputnik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sputnik Almetyevsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM Novomoskovsk than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AKM Novomoskovsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sputnik Almetyevsk - AKM Novomoskovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
72. Tychkin D. (G)	35. Mandrykin K. (G)
81. Chistousov V.	24. Kulikov A.
93. Nafigin I.	3. Badikov A.
48. Taziyev V.	10. Kazharin I.
14. Gataullin A.	81. Bogatin M.
15. Davletshin I.	91. Ryzhkov A.
Line 2
80. Lesnikov S. (A)	21. Pushkov V.
62. Lazarev D.	31. Kurzhiyamsky M.
22. Giniyatullin R. (C)	67. Kubankov D.
83. Gorodilov R.	86. Novikov M.
29. Gimadiev A. (A)	33. Likhachev V.
Line 3
96. Devyatov Y.	37. Gilmanov D.
54. Levagin Y.	58. Putyunin A.
52. Troyanov I.	80. Olikh A.
65. Gatiyatulin A.	15. Gordyukov A.
67. Nurgaliyev M.	71. Krasin D.
Line 4
86. Lukinov D.	69. Rostkov V.
95. Dolgov R.	63. Krayushkin M.
34. Ismagilov K.	55. Rulin M.
57. Safonov V.	98. Volkov V.
	43. Kalach M.
Substitutes
1. Koptelov G. (G)	30. Skryabin N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 3)
11:53, 0 - 1, Gilmanov D. (G), Volkov V. (A), Rulin M. (A2)
14:17, 0 - 2, Olikh A. (G), Gordyukov A. (A), Krasin D. (A2)
16:44, 0 - 3, Bogatin M. (G), Kubankov D. (A),
18:42, 1 - 3, Davletshin I. (G), Taziyev V. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:51, 1 - 4, Kubankov D. (G), Kazharin I. (A), Kurzhiyamsky M. (A2)
18:19, 2 - 4, Gatiyatulin A. (G), Gorodilov R. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 2)
04:20, 3 - 4, Giniyatullin R. (G), Gorodilov R. (A), Lazarev D. (A2)
10:06, 3 - 5, Gordyukov A. (G), Likhachev V. (A),
11:39, 4 - 5, Gimadiev A. (G), Lukinov D. (A),
18:01, 4 - 6, Kubankov D. (G), Likhachev V. (A),
20', 5 - 6, (G),

Preview

In recent matches, Sputnik Almetyevsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AKM Novomoskovsk is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

AKM Novomoskovsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sputnik Almetyevsk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sputnik Almetyevsk won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 4.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sputnik Almetyevsk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sputnik Almetyevsk
MHL
09.01.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - AKM Novomoskovsk	3:2 ✺
28.12.25	Mamonty Yugry - Sputnik Almetyevsk	8:1 ✺
23.12.25	Molot Perm - Sputnik Almetyevsk	5:1 ✺
21.12.25	Molot Perm - Sputnik Almetyevsk	2:3 OT ✺
18.12.25	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Sibirskie Snaypery	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWL
- AKM Novomoskovsk
MHL
09.01.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - AKM Novomoskovsk	3:2 ✺
06.01.26	Mamonty Yugry - AKM Novomoskovsk	3:2 ✺
28.12.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Ladya Togliatti	1:2 penalties ✺
27.12.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Ladya Togliatti	2:5 ✺
23.12.25	Red Machine Junior - AKM Novomoskovsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
09.01.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - AKM Novomoskovsk	3:2
30.01.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Sputnik Almetyevsk	4:8
29.01.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Sputnik Almetyevsk	2:3 penalties
08.10.24	Sputnik Almetyevsk - AKM Novomoskovsk	3:0
07.10.24	Sputnik Almetyevsk - AKM Novomoskovsk	6:2

Sputnik Almetyevsk - AKM Novomoskovsk