Match Info

AHL

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Upstate Medical University Arena (Syracuse, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Syracuse Crunch		Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins

	1	X	2
	2.15	4	2.6	Watch
	2.22	4.05	2.6
	2.27	4.1	2.59
	2.27	4.15	2.58	Watch
	2.15	4	2.6
	2.28	4.14	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.16)	4.07 ↑ (4)	2.59 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Syracuse Crunch
41.6%

Draw
22.7%

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

22.8%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

24.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Syracuse Crunch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Syracuse Crunch than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Syracuse Crunch - Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Halverson B. (G)	1. Murashov S. (G)
14. Allard T.	56. Alexeyev A.
21. Chaffee M. (A)	63. Brickey S.
25. Duke D.	84. Calvert A.
20. Flinton C.	43. Fernstrom M.
13. Furry B.	62. Gallant Z.
79. Gauthier E.	50. Harding F.
23. Groshev M.	49. Harvey-Pinard R.
41. Kersten S.	22. Howe T.
7. Lundmark S.	10. Huglen A.
11. Mercuri L.	14. Imama B. (A)
8. Miller T.	52. Kemp P. (C)
50. Milne M.	64. Klassen G.
18. Newkirk R.	15. Koppanen J. (A)
22. Pelletier J.	8. McDonough A.
75. Pietroniro M.	2. McGroarty R.
81. Roelens M.	38. Pickering O.
16. Santini S. (C)	44. Pietila C.
28. Tinordi J. (A)	23. Renwick N.
Substitutes
59. Fanti R. (G)	30. Blomqvist J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
05:05, 1 - 0, Allard T. (G), Duke D. (A),
07:46, 2 - 0, Furry B. (G), Pelletier J. (A), Chaffee M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
01:30, 2 - 1, McGroarty R. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:37, 2 - 2, Fernstrom M. (G), McDonough A. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
03:21, 3 - 2, Mercuri L. (G), Pelletier J. (A), Chaffee M. (A2)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Syracuse won 3.

Syracuse is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wilkes-Barre has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Syracuse has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Syracuse won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 60:39. (average 3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Syracuse won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 2.9:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.91%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Syracuse Crunch
AHL
04.03.26	Laval Rocket - Syracuse Crunch	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Syracuse Crunch - Laval Rocket	6:4 ✺
21.02.26	Syracuse Crunch - Charlotte Checkers	3:4 ✺
20.02.26	Syracuse Crunch - Charlotte Checkers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWLW
- Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
AHL
04.03.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Springfield Thunderbirds	4:5 ✺
28.02.26	Cleveland Monsters - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	2:1 OT ✺
27.02.26	Cleveland Monsters - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	2:3 ✺
22.02.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	0:4 ✺
21.02.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Bridgeport Islanders	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
14.02.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Syracuse Crunch	0:5
31.01.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Syracuse Crunch	4:1
03.01.26	Syracuse Crunch - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	6:0
09.03.25	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Syracuse Crunch	1:5
28.02.25	Syracuse Crunch - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	0:2
26.10.24	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Syracuse Crunch	3:2
25.10.24	Syracuse Crunch - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	2:0

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