Match Info

AHL

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Upstate Medical University Arena (Syracuse, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	Flohockey


	Syracuse Crunch		Charlotte Checkers

	1	X	2
	2.05	4	2.7	Watch
	2.19	4	2.65
	2.09	4.12	2.86	Watch
	2.15	3.9	2.63
	2.14	4.1	2.78	Watch
	2.15	4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.17)	4.02 ↑ (3.8)	2.7 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Syracuse Crunch
43.2%

Draw
22.9%

Charlotte Checkers
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

23.9%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

23.8%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Syracuse Crunch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Charlotte Checkers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Syracuse Crunch than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Checkers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Syracuse Crunch - Charlotte Checkers Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Syracuse will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
59. Fanti R. (G)	20. Gerasimyuk K. (G)
14. Allard T.	2. Benning M. (A)
21. Chaffee M. (A)	18. Entwistle M. (A)
25. Duke D.	28. Foote N.
20. Flinton C.	39. Gaber R.
13. Furry B.	17. Gregor N.
79. Gauthier E.	14. Hovorka M.
94. Geekie C.	3. Jansson L.
7. Lundmark S.	21. Livingstone J.
11. Mercuri L.	7. Mastrosimone R.
8. Miller T.	26. Pinho B.
50. Milne M.	11. Powell E.
38. Newpower W.	13. Schwindt K.
22. Pelletier J.	25. Skoog W.
75. Pietroniro M.	15. Smith N.
81. Roelens M.	6. Steeves B.
16. Santini S. (C)	19. St. Martin H.
95. Szturc G.	23. Studnicka J.
28. Tinordi J. (A)	8. Vande Sompel M.
Substitutes
31. Halverson B. (G)	31. Black C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
12:07, 0 - 1, Smith N. (G), Studnicka J. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
08:00, 1 - 1, Pietroniro M. (G), Geekie C. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 3)
06:11, 1 - 2, Entwistle M. (G), Steeves B. (A),
12:57, 1 - 3, Mastrosimone R. (G), Skoog W. (A), Powell E. (A2)
14:31, 2 - 3, Duke D. (G), Geekie C. (A), Pelletier J. (A2)
18:18, 2 - 4, Smith N. (G), Livingstone J. (A), Benning M. (A2)
19:20, 3 - 4, Mercuri L. (G), Duke D. (A), Geekie C. (A2)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Syracuse won 1.

Syracuse has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Charlotte has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Syracuse has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Syracuse will win today's game, with odds of 2.18.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Syracuse won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 53:73. (average 2.7:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Syracuse won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:43. (average 2.4:4.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Syracuse Crunch - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.71%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Charlotte Checkers - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.43%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Syracuse Crunch
AHL
20.02.26	Syracuse Crunch - Charlotte Checkers	4:0 ✺
18.02.26	Belleville Senators - Syracuse Crunch	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Syracuse Crunch	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Syracuse Crunch	0:5 ✺
07.02.26	Belleville Senators - Syracuse Crunch	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWW
- Charlotte Checkers
AHL
20.02.26	Syracuse Crunch - Charlotte Checkers	4:0 ✺
18.02.26	Rochester Americans - Charlotte Checkers	2:3 penalties ✺
16.02.26	Charlotte Checkers - Hartford Wolf Pack	9:0 ✺
14.02.26	Charlotte Checkers - Hartford Wolf Pack	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Charlotte Checkers - Grand Rapids Griffins	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
20.02.26	Syracuse Crunch - Charlotte Checkers	4:0
08.11.25	Charlotte Checkers - Syracuse Crunch	3:2
07.11.25	Charlotte Checkers - Syracuse Crunch	4:1
04.02.23	Syracuse Crunch - Charlotte Checkers	3:5
03.02.23	Syracuse Crunch - Charlotte Checkers	4:5 OT
05.11.22	Charlotte Checkers - Syracuse Crunch	0:5
04.11.22	Charlotte Checkers - Syracuse Crunch	3:2

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