The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TKH Toruń 51.8%
Draw 20.5%
Polonia Bytom 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.2%
21%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
22.9%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TKH Toruń has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TKH Toruń than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
TKH Toruń - Polonia Bytom Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Kalmykov R. (G)
1. Jaworski T. (G)
49. Brandhammar A.
11. Kurnicki O.
86. Larionovs D.
34. Musiol D.
89. Syty N.
24. Bepierszcz M.
91. Deniskin A.
9. Jarosz D.
86. Wielkiewicz F.
Line 2
33. Schafer E.
23. Kubes J.
11. Jaworski A.
17. Gorny K.
34. Kolesnikov V.
91. Vorona O.
17. Arrak R.
44. Fadyeyev Y.
8. Peltola S.
61. Zajac M.
Line 3
45. Wilczok W.
77. Osenieks E.
28. Ossipov R.
43. Hrebenyk A.
14. Hanzawa C.
12. Buyalsky A.
88. Napiorkowski P.
94. Mroczkowski C.
20. Cybulski M.
21. Padakin P.
Line 4
71. Fraszko A.
74. Proczek M.
94. Giminski J.
8. Bodora A.
19. Kalinowski M.
16. Petrazycki T.
12. Smal I.
97. Bajon P.
10. Kalinowski K.
10. Wicher S.
Substitutes
55. Studzinski M. (G)
31. Kuznetsov M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
08:08, 1 - 0, Peltola S. (G), Arrak R. (A), Hanzawa C. (A2)
12:12, 2 - 0, Arrak R. (G), Peltola S. (A), Kolesnikov V. (A2)
14:16, 3 - 0, Larionovs D. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:51, 4 - 0, Larionovs D. (G), Ossipov R. (A),
15:41, 4 - 1, Gorny K. (G), Vorona O. (A), Kubes J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toruń won 3.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
Toruń carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toruń has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 68:66 (averaging 3.4:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Toruń against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 26:26 goals (averaging 2.9:2.9 per game).