Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday


	TPS U20		Mikkelin Jukurit U20

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.4	2.05
	2.73	3.81	1.99
	2.86	4.07	2.04	Watch
	2.7	4	2
	2.88	3.95	2.01
	2.4	4.4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.31)	4.11 ↑ (3.92)	2.03 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TPS U20
34%

Draw
21.8%

Mikkelin Jukurit U20
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

23.5%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

22.4%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TPS U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TPS U20's form might have worsened.

Mikkelin Jukurit U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mikkelin Jukurit U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TPS U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Jukurit U20 than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mikkelin Jukurit U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

TPS U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
01:25, 1 - 0, Kaukonen J. (G), Pinomaki B. (A), Kallio W. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
16:22, 1 - 1, Valojarvi V. (G), Peltoranta A. (A), Mutka J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Sallinen S. (Penalty Shot),
1, Kallio W. (Penalty Shot),
2, Mutka J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Fugleberg P. (Penalty Shot),
3, Teshome N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Uusikartano A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Sipilainen V. (Penalty Shot),
4, Kaukonen J. (Penalty Shot),
5, Frilander J. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 3.

TPS U20 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Jukurit U20 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 69:59. (average 3.5:3).

Including home matches between the teams, TPS U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:28. (average 4:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TPS U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
04.12.25	TPS U20 - HIFK U20	3:1 ✺
03.12.25	HIFK U20 - TPS U20	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	TPS U20 - Lukko U20	5:1 ✺
27.11.25	Ässät U20 - TPS U20	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - TPS U20	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WLWWW
- Mikkelin Jukurit U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.12.25	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - KalPa U20	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - Ilves U20	3:2 penalties ✺
28.11.25	Pelicans U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	5:3 ✺
22.11.25	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - SaiPa U20	4:1 ✺
21.11.25	KooKoo U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
25.01.25	TPS U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	3:2 OT
26.10.24	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - TPS U20	3:2 OT
09.12.23	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - TPS U20	0:8
08.10.22	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - TPS U20	3:1
19.09.21	TPS U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	2:0
16.10.20	TPS U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	5:1
Finnish Nuorten SM-liiga
09.03.20	TPS U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	2:1

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