Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Vaasan Sport U20		TPS U20

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.5	2.9
	2.06	3.94	2.87	Watch
	1.65	4.3	3.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.06)	4.25 ↑ (3.94)	3.21 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaasan Sport U20
50.1%

Draw
21.5%

TPS U20
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

23.3%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

22.4%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaasan Sport U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vaasan Sport U20's performance.

TPS U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport U20 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Vaasan Sport U20 - TPS U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
01:21, 0 - 1, Virtanen J. (G), Laine L. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
09:22, 0 - 2, Rantala O. (G), Vilhunen P. (A), Uusikartano A. (A2)
17:37, 0 - 3, Orelma P. (G), Parssinen J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasan Sport U20 won 2.

Vaasan Sport U20 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

TPS U20 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vaasan Sport U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vaasan Sport U20 could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Vaasan Sport U20 will win today's game, with odds of 2.05.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Vaasan Sport U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 60:75. (average 3.5:4.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vaasan Sport U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 4.7:4.7).

Last Results with these Odds

TPS U20 - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.03%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vaasan Sport U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
22.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - HPK U20	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Jokerit U20	4:3 OT ✺
15.11.25	KooKoo U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:3 ✺
14.11.25	SaiPa U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	1:6 ✺
01.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Tappara U20	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWL
- TPS U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
22.11.25	TPS U20 - Ilves U20	1:7 ✺
21.11.25	HPK U20 - TPS U20	6:2 ✺
14.11.25	Ässät U20 - TPS U20	4:1 ✺
01.11.25	HIFK U20 - TPS U20	3:2 ✺
31.10.25	TPS U20 - Tappara U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
14.12.24	TPS U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	6:3
17.11.24	Vaasan Sport U20 - TPS U20	5:4 penalties
18.02.24	TPS U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	1:4
19.01.24	TPS U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:1 penalties
17.09.22	TPS U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	3:2 OT
10.09.21	TPS U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	5:2
24.10.20	TPS U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	5:0

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