Match Info

VHL

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Kristall (Tambov)


	Tambov		Izhstal

	1	X	2
	3.04	4.05	2.03	Watch
	2.95	3.85	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.68)	3.95 ↑ (3.75)	1.99 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tambov
30.6%

Draw
23.2%

Izhstal
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

24.4%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

25.9%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tambov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Izhstal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tambov - Izhstal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
22. Korolev T. (G)	43. Volkov G. (G)
72. Vasin I. (A)	81. Glinsky M.
24. Mamkin M.	26. Petrikov Y. (A)
74. Zhabreyev A.	17. Dyuryagin D. (A)
7. Kamenev V.	10. Astashevsky S.
51. Dubrovsky Y. (C)	41. Yerofeyev A.
Line 2
57. Baranov V.	50. Zhdanov Y.
38. Yepishin M.	45. Nazarko A.
92. Korinevsky M. (A)	60. Yakovlev P.
71. Koltygin P.	27. Pukelo K.
63. Valitsky I.	78. Sokolov S.
Line 3
95. Pesterev V.	11. Slepkov I.
6. Gromov N.	23. Glebov G. (C)
43. Ugolnikov A.	29. Kruzhenkov Y.
96. Pyanov E.	57. Yepishchev I.
33. Mukhanov T.	39. Kovalyov A.
Line 4
67. Karimov T.	77. Khisamutdinov A.
86. Kopyltsov S.	3. Yuzlenko Y.
87. Gorbunov Y.	21. Pugachyov A.
84. Nizovkin M.	36. Poyarkov D.
	59. Dolgopyatov N.
Substitutes
60. Golovlev V. (G)	34. Tabatchikov V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
05:18, 1 - 0, Kopyltsov S. (G), Gorbunov Y. (A), Pesterev V. (A2)
14:23, 2 - 0, Ugolnikov A. (G), Vasin I. (A), Pyanov E. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:08, 2 - 1, Kovalyov A. (G), Kruzhenkov Y. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 5.

Tambov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Izhstal is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Izhstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tambov has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 52:38. (average 3.7:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tambov won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:20. (average 4:2.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
15	Tambov	11	5	1	1	4	29:31	13
29	Izhevsk	11	1	2	1	7	25:34	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Tambov
VHL
24.12.25	AKM - Tambov	4:2 ✺
22.12.25	Ryazan - Tambov	4:3 OT ✺
20.12.25	Dizel Penza - Tambov	3:5 ✺
18.12.25	Kristall Saratov - Tambov	1:4 ✺
14.12.25	Tambov - Bars Kazan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWWL
- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
08.01.26	Rostov - Izhstal	4:2 ✺
06.01.26	Buran Voronezh - Izhstal	0:4 ✺
28.12.25	Izhstal - Omskie Krylia	3:2 ✺
26.12.25	Izhstal - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 ✺
24.12.25	Izhstal - Rubin Tyumen	1:0 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
10.11.25	Izhstal - Tambov	1:2
20.02.25	Tambov - Izhstal	5:4 penalties
30.09.24	Izhstal - Tambov	1:7
31.01.24	Izhstal - Tambov	2:4
20.09.23	Tambov - Izhstal	5:2
28.01.23	Izhstal - Tambov	5:4 penalties
26.09.22	Tambov - Izhstal	5:4

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