Match Info

SM-sarja U20 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday


	Tappara U20		Kiekko-Espoo U20

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.15	3.25
	1.93	3.97	2.97
	2.07	3.63	3.04	Watch
	1.8	4	3.1
	1.89	4.15	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.92)	3.98 ↓ (4.04)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tappara U20
48.1%

Draw
22.7%

Kiekko-Espoo U20
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

22.5%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

23.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tappara U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Kiekko-Espoo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara U20 than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo U20 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Tappara U20 - Kiekko Espoo U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
10:46, 1 - 0, Lehtosaari R. (G), Mikkonen D. (A), Jarventie E. (A2)
17:04, 1 - 1, Suoniemi T. (G), Saavola T. (A), Puolanne E. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:10, 2 - 1, Vauhkonen V. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
04:28, 2 - 2, Willberg T. (G), Arkiomaa V. (A), Pakarinen N. (A2)
17:49, 2 - 3, Katavisto A. (G), Vuori A. (A),

Preview

Tappara leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara U20 won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tappara U20 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara U20 won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 70:41. (average 3.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tappara U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 3.8:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Kiekko-Espoo U20	11	7	0	0	4	45:29	21
8	Tappara U20	11	6	0	2	3	34:32	20

Last Results with these Odds

Tappara U20 - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 47.55%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Kiekko-Espoo U20 - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.91%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tappara U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
29.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Tappara U20	2:3 OT ✺
28.03.26	Tappara U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	1:5 ✺
26.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Tappara U20	2:3 ✺
24.03.26	Ässät U20 - Tappara U20	2:8 ✺
22.03.26	Tappara U20 - Ässät U20	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWL
- Kiekko-Espoo U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
29.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Tappara U20	2:3 OT ✺
28.03.26	Tappara U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	1:5 ✺
26.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Tappara U20	2:3 ✺
24.03.26	JYP U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:3 ✺
22.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - JYP U20	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
29.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Tappara U20	2:3 OT
28.03.26	Tappara U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	1:5
26.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Tappara U20	2:3
10.01.26	Tappara U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:4
13.12.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Tappara U20	5:2
31.01.25	Tappara U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	4:0
12.10.24	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Tappara U20	2:1 OT

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