Match Info

MHL

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Tayfun		Almaz

	1	X	2
	3.45	4.41	1.81
	4.23	4.49	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↓ (5.68)	4.45 ↓ (5.25)	1.74 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tayfun
24.5%

Draw
21.2%

Almaz
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

17.7%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

17.6%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tayfun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tayfun's performance.

Almaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tayfun than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tayfun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tayfun - Almaz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Tayfun (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tayfun (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Ivanov T. (G)	94. Melchakov A. (G)
3. Guzhov I.	4. Smirnov I.
29. Kesso V.	14. Istomin L.
92. Varosyan R. (A)	81. Kazulayev D. (A)
27. Plaksin A. (C)	80. Volzhenkov L.
17. Fomin I. (A)	3. Ulyanov V.
Line 2
44. Vetoshnikov M.	79. Zakharov I.
37. Panov M.	43. Kichigin N.
13. Kryukov N.	37. Savin V.
71. Yermak D.	89. Sadovin O.
7. Frukalov A.	24. Denezhkin V.
Line 3
5. Kravtsov M.	71. Korzin A.
66. Korzhov D.	36. Konovalov M.
61. Saifushev M.	34. Vlasov Y.
67. Ognyov O.	96. Shilov G. (C)
98. Strochkin R.	92. Prishchepa I.
Line 4
97. Florovsky A.	90. Ivanov I.
4. Remizov A.	98. Gulenok T.
51. Kitchenko A.	91. Perminov T. (A)
91. Shcherban K.	76. Golovanov M.
25. Yumshanov P.	65. Rasputin D.
Substitutes
1. Peshkov G. (G)	46. Dovgy I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
06:33, 1 - 0, Fomin I. (G), Kesso V. (A),
07:36, 2 - 0, Kryukov N. (G), Yermak D. (A),
12:02, 2 - 1, Prishchepa I. (G), Shilov G. (A), Vlasov Y. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
08:34, 2 - 2, Sadovin O. (G),
09:21, 3 - 2, Saifushev M. (G), Ognyov O. (A),
12:11, 3 - 3, Shilov G. (G), Perminov T. (A), Vlasov Y. (A2)
18:56, 3 - 4, Kazulayev D. (G), Korzin A. (A), Denezhkin V. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
07:45, 3 - 5, Perminov T. (G), Smirnov I. (A),
16:58, 3 - 6, Denezhkin V. (G),
18:36, 3 - 7, Denezhkin V. (G), Kichigin N. (A), Zakharov I. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tayfun won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Almaz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Almaz is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tayfun won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 41:78. (average 2.1:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tayfun won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:37. (average 3:3.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tayfun Vladivostok
MHL
29.09.25	Tayfun - Loko	1:4 ✺
22.09.25	Tayfun - Krasnaya Armiya	1:2 penalties ✺
20.09.25	Tayfun - MHC Spartak	4:3 ✺
14.09.25	SKA-Akademiya - Tayfun	4:2 ✺
13.09.25	SKA-Akademiya - Tayfun	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 LLWLW
- Almaz Cherepovets
MHL
29.09.25	Amurskie Tigry - Almaz	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sakhalinskie Akuly - Almaz	1:5 ✺
21.09.25	Almaz - Kapitan Stupino	3:1 ✺
17.09.25	AKM-Junior - Almaz	3:4 ✺
13.09.25	Almaz - Mikhaylov Academy	1:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
11.01.25	Almaz - Tayfun	4:1
31.10.24	Tayfun - Almaz	3:1
06.01.24	Almaz - Tayfun	4:0
05.11.23	Tayfun - Almaz	6:7
24.02.23	Tayfun - Almaz	3:5
13.11.22	Almaz - Tayfun	6:0
27.02.22	Almaz - Tayfun	5:2

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