Match Info

RUSSIA: NMHL

Date: 29 November 2024, Friday


	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	5.6	5.5	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.6 ↑ (3.43)	5.5 ↑ (4.6)	1.37 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tayfun Saint-Petersburg
16.4%

Draw
16.7%

Ermak Angarsk
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

19.9%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

19.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tayfun Saint-Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tayfun Saint-Petersburg's form might have worsened.

Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ermak Angarsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tayfun Saint-Petersburg than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tayfun Saint-Petersburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ermak Angarsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
10:12, 1 - 0, Istomin A. (G), Koshelev S. (A), Tarazanov Y. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
09:21, 1 - 1, Chernykh D. (G), Zakharov Z. (A), Berdashkevich I. (A2)
13:53, 2 - 1, Fomin K. (G), Istomin A. (A), Moskalenko A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:28, 2 - 2, Chernykh D. (G), Belov N. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Berdashkevich I. (Penalty Shot),
1, Akmaletdinov A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Chernykh D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Tarazanov Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Starovoitov A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Shalomanov A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Tungusov N. (Penalty Shot),
4, Marininov Y. (Penalty Shot),
5, Ivanov V. (Penalty Shot),
5, Fomin K. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Tayfun has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ermak is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ermak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tayfun have a series of home games.

In this match Ermak is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ermak to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tayfun won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:6

Including matches at home between the teams Tayfun won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tayfun Saint-Petersburg
RHL
28.11.24	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Ermak Angarsk	1:6 ✺
23.11.24	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Arktika Murmansk	3:4 ✺
22.11.24	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Arktika Murmansk	0:3 ✺
16.11.24	Metallurg Cherepovets - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	6:2 ✺
15.11.24	Metallurg Cherepovets - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW
- Ermak Angarsk
RHL
28.11.24	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Ermak Angarsk	1:6 ✺
25.11.24	Dinamo-576 - Ermak Angarsk	4:7 ✺
24.11.24	Dinamo-576 - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 ✺
12.11.24	Ermak Angarsk - Bryansk	2:7 ✺
11.11.24	Ermak Angarsk - Bryansk	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
28.11.24	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Ermak Angarsk	1:6

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