Match Info

NMHL

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg		Fakel Salekhard

	1	X	2
	4.45	4.75	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (3.7)	4.75 ↑ (4.5)	1.51 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tayfun Saint-Petersburg
20.5%

Draw
19.2%

Fakel Salekhard
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

20.2%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

20.1%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tayfun Saint-Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Fakel Salekhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fakel Salekhard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tayfun Saint-Petersburg than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel Salekhard than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Tayfun Saint Petersburg - Fakel Salekhard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
01:28, 0 - 1, Filyakov S. (G), Mamayev E. (A),
16:50, 1 - 1, Efimov-Barakov A. (G), Shevlyagin Y. (A), Sedov D. (A2)
18:07, 1 - 2, Mamayev E. (G), Filyakov S. (A), Ugryumov P. (A2)
19:32, 1 - 3, Kutalov N. (G), Chaplygin M. (A), Zagoruy I. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
12:50, 1 - 4, Ugryumov P. (G), Filyakov S. (A), Pichugin M. (A2)
19:21, 2 - 4, Shevlyagin Y. (G), Kachin M. (A), Ustyushenko V. (A2)

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tayfun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tayfun has had a series of away games.

In this match, Fakel is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tayfun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 2.2:4.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tayfun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 2.3:4.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tayfun Saint-Petersburg
RHL
06.12.25	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Fakel Salekhard	2:3 ✺
28.11.25	Bryansk - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	4:3 ✺
27.11.25	Bryansk - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	4:5 ✺
25.11.25	Kaluga - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	7:2 ✺
24.11.25	Kaluga - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 45.9 LLWLW
- Fakel Salekhard
RHL
06.12.25	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Fakel Salekhard	2:3 ✺
03.12.25	Arktika Murmansk - Fakel Salekhard	4:3 penalties ✺
02.12.25	Arktika Murmansk - Fakel Salekhard	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Fakel Salekhard - Granit Chekhov	2:1 penalties ✺
22.11.25	Fakel Salekhard - Granit Chekhov	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
06.12.25	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Fakel Salekhard	2:3
04.03.25	Fakel Salekhard - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	5:1
03.03.25	Fakel Salekhard - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	4:3
26.10.24	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Fakel Salekhard	3:4 OT
25.10.24	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Fakel Salekhard	2:7

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